chemmie's account talk

**chemmie** · 04-22-2009, 06:23 PM

Hello all,
I am just getting this going. I use a trend-following system, a proprietary channel system and a proprietary timing model. I also am managing member of an investment business that was up 6.1% last year.
Charles

**chemmie** · 04-22-2009, 06:32 PM

I am 100% G starting out here.

**Medic72** · 04-22-2009, 06:32 PM

1st Post!

Welcome to The MB Chemmie!

There is a wealth of info here if you need to learn, if you are already knowledgeable, please share you opinions and thinking with us here.

once again, welcome to the family.

**Medic72** · 04-22-2009, 06:35 PM

Originally Posted by chemmie

Hello all,
I am just getting this going. I use a trend-following system, a proprietary channel system and a proprietary timing model. I also am managing member of an investment business that was up 6.1% last year.
Charles

Excellent, i look forward to reading your thread!

**Steadygain** · 04-22-2009, 06:37 PM

Wow Charles - getting 6.1% last year is outstanding.

Sounds like you've got a very good grounding.

I've looked into 'systems' and in fact was a devoted Ebb Chart System follower - and also was into Trader Fred for quite awhile.

Have only recently retired from the 'timing system' and decided to go High Risk and simply let Nature take its course. I may have been snowed - but a guy recently convinced me we hit THE LOW and I'm at peace with that. I also drink two large glasses of Birchtree juice every morning on a regular basis.

ANYWAY - WELCOME - and we all look forward to your insights.

**Medic72** · 04-22-2009, 06:43 PM

Originally Posted by Steadygain

I also drink two large glasses of Birchtree juice every morning on a regular basis.

Love it! He is my motivation as well

**dannyboy** · 04-22-2009, 08:17 PM

Welcome,

DannyBoy

**chemmie** · 04-22-2009, 10:33 PM

Thanks for the warm greeting!

**justbizness45** · 04-23-2009, 02:19 AM

I'll throw in my welcome also. You have quite a resume and I am looking forward to reading your views on the market. If you also invest you can also check out Tom's other site ETF Talk. It's a relatively new site but a lot of good info is shared. Again welcome!!

**WorkFE** · 04-23-2009, 02:24 AM

Welcome Chemmie,
Show'em what you got. 2008 was quite an accomplishment, something to be proud of. I look forward to hearing your opinions.

**KevinD** · 04-23-2009, 11:27 AM

Welcome to the message board chemmie!

Originally Posted by chemmie

I use a trend-following system, a proprietary channel system and a proprietary timing model.

Question - Are the methods you use proprietary to the markets in general or specific to the TSP?

Looking forward to your input!

**chemmie** · 04-23-2009, 10:38 PM

Kevin,
I am first and foremost a federal employee so I am all about using the TSP funds as the basis for my analysis. I apply my techniques to the best tracking fund/etf/index I can find as a good proxy with historical data readily available (i.e. S&P index for C, EFA for I, VXF for S, AGG for F). My timing system focuses right now on the S&P, but is applicable to all the funds as they are so incredibly highly correlated. I also track gold through the GLD. My main critique of the TSP (besides limiting our transactions

) is that we really do not have true diversification options..we basically have 2 choices (bonds, risk-free G or risky F as one choice and stocks C, S, I as the other choice). G vs. F and C vs. S vs. I is just about risk management and "leverage".
C