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Thread: coolhand's Account Talk

  1. #6589

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Friday, the market managed to recapture some of its weekly losses, but not enough to erase them. The C fund got hit hardest last week, down 1.2%. But the S fund was down less than half that at 0.54%. The fact that small caps outperformed, even when selling down, is bullish at its core.

    S&P 500.png
    DWCPF.png

    Price on the S&P 500 continued to dance along support on the 50 dma Friday, while the DWCPF rallied at bit to distance itself a bit further from its own 50 dma. It sure looks like a bull flag to me.

    NAAIM is bullish, and you know what that means. TSP Talk went from bullish to neutral, but that dip in bullishness is actually bullish against the backdrop of a bullish NAAIM. The options are neutral. Breadth is bullish.

    I said on Thursday that I thought we'd see a move back to the upside over the next few days and Friday's mixed trading could be a sign that we are getting close. I remain long C, S and I funds.

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  3. #6590

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    On Friday, it appeared that the market may be getting ready for a turn back up soon. I certainly allowed for some degree of downside before bottoming, but the indicators did not suggest the pounding it took on Monday.

    S&P 500.png
    DWCPF.png

    The S&P 500 fell through support at the 50 dma like a knife through butter. The DWCPF tested its 50 dma, but closed well above it; albeit for a sizable loss. Momentum turned down. It was not bullish action at all. However, there was some degree of a recovery in the afternoon trade, though it wasn't strong enough to be convincing that a bottom might have been achieved.

    Monday's action was driven by news and uncertainty. At least that's the narrative. And I do believe that there may be no small degree of political influence in today's downside action.

    Breadth fell hard and is now neutral. If the market continues to fall, it will likely flip negative.

    I don't want to put a bullish spin on today's downside pressure. It was not pretty and there could be more coming. But technically, the DWCPF remains fairly bullish. Even the S&P 500, while falling through its 50 dma, has not made a lower low and you can still draw a line at the bottoms and find support. But what happens from here is going to be key. It's still too soon to get overly beared up, but I will admit that I am not feeling as bullish as I was late last week. TRINQ closed at a very high level, so that's bullish for tomorrow for the NAZ. We need more than a bounce though. We need a multi-day rally soon with an accompanying upside spike in breadth.

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  5. #6591

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    The market is wavering a bit right now. We closed mixed. Breadth is now negative. The options are bullish for Wednesday, but it's also Fed day, so things do have the possibility of getting choppy for a day or two.

    Some of you may find this interesting:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cx5sZoSiIQ

    If you are having trouble with some youtube videos, I recommend getting TOR. I've had no trouble watching youtube videos on that browser as opposed to Firefox.

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  7. #6592

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Interesting video. If you believe this is possible, how much of your investments do you have in Cryptos? What percentage in Gold?

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  9. #6593

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Meh. One thousand and five hundred "episodes" and still no economic collapse. Not to mention no evidence is presented of a "deep state" (whatever that is) conspiracy, just "Dave's" opinions.

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The market is wavering a bit right now. We closed mixed. Breadth is now negative. The options are bullish for Wednesday, but it's also Fed day, so things do have the possibility of getting choppy for a day or two.

    Some of you may find this interesting:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cx5sZoSiIQ

    If you are having trouble with some youtube videos, I recommend getting TOR. I've had no trouble watching youtube videos on that browser as opposed to Firefox.
    [COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]

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  11. #6594

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  13. #6595

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by evilanne View Post
    Interesting video. If you believe this is possible, how much of your investments do you have in Cryptos? What percentage in Gold?
    I do not own cryptos or gold. I do own silver. But that's not the point. It's all about risk. No one can accurately predict how these things play out and the author of the video does mention that. I am not suggesting anyone go out and buy these alternatives. The video was for personal consumption and folks will view it through different lenses. The more one researches and learns what they can about what's really going on, the better one can assess risk.

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  15. #6596

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    [COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]

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  17. #6597

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    You can find opposing views on everything under the sun. I only seek the truth. Misinformation is rampant.

    “The only barrier to truth is the belief that you already have it.” | Come now, let us reason together.

    For anyone with an open mind, PM me. This topic is otherwise closed.


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  19. #6598

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    You can find opposing views on everything under the sun. I only seek the truth. Misinformation is rampant.

    “The only barrier to truth is the belief that you already have it.” | Come now, let us reason together.

    For anyone with an open mind, PM me. This topic is otherwise closed.
    Before we close, I'd like to respond as well. If you prefer, this can be moved to my thread, or I can repost it and your quotes into my thread if you have it deleted--either way, it's not that serious to me:

    I agree with you that, "You can find opposing views on everything under the sun. I only seek the truth. Misinformation is rampant."

    An open mind considers facts.

    If I were to post something extraordinary, I would not expect everyone to agree with me. I would also expect replies to my posts ... especially if I posted in a discussion forum.

    Normally things go: post, then a reply. Another post, then another reply. If I make a debatable post, I wouldn't expect that I would get the last word in ... since I had the first word; but that's just me, I guess.

    And if I didn't want any opposing views, I wouldn't post in an internet discussion forum. I'd probably start a blog and disable comments. And have a 'like' button--no 'unlike' button though.

    “For any reputable person or organization to be successful, that person's or organization's actions must be based on solid information, not conspiracy theories, not hearsay, not rumors, and certainly not fear mongering.” ― Mike Klepper
    [COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]

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  21. #6599

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Enough!



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  23. #6600

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Facts are based on ones reality.

    In other words "facts" can be biased (not referring to scientific laws, a very different story).


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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
coolhand's Account Talk
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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
coolhand's Account Talk
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
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