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Thread: JTH's Account Talk

  1. #8641

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    IFT EoB today, from 100G to 100S

    At this time, I believe we are gearing up for a 6-8% March, and there may not be another opportunity to jump in.

    Looking at the charts does not make me want to jump in, but much of my statistical data (in various forms, some not posted) leads me to belive I won't be able to out-time the markets.
    I like your call, 6-8% would put me back in positive territory for the year.

  2.  
  3. #8642

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    At this time, I believe we are gearing up for a 6-8% March, and there may not be another opportunity to jump in.
    I could live with that. While sitting in equities all year, early on I took some lumps. It has fought back pretty good, a 6-8 March would help me sleep.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  5. #8643

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    I hope you're right Jason, but like a good golf swing, I'm not committing till the hips begin to turn....

    I've tried to time it too many times with "less than favorable results".

    Best of luck to you in your investments.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  7. #8644

    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    IFT EoB today, from 100G to 100S

    At this time, I believe we are gearing up for a 6-8% March, and there may not be another opportunity to jump in.

    Looking at the charts does not make me want to jump in, but much of my statistical data (in various forms, some not posted) leads me to belive I won't be able to out-time the markets.
    Volume has been small, the move up looks very tire and topped out...I am wondering what you are seeing, I was about to ask if you going to move to F

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  9. #8645

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Interesting points of view from everyone.

    Here's the thing, we've climbed 180 points off the double bottom, pierced the 1943 double top, and retraced more than 50% of wave AB. Meanwhile, SPX March has its best 3-day start in over 40 years...

    2016-09-D-MISC8.png
    Last edited by JTH; 03-03-2016 at 11:44 PM.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  11. #8646

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    JTH-ALPAFS, IFT EoB today, from 100G to 100S.

    Pushing ALPAFS into the S-Fund. The system has lost it's edge to the C-Fund and is within 2 days of losing its edge against the S-Fund, so I'm reluctantly putting the system back in.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  13. #8647

    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Jason,

    IS that 3 White Soldiers I see on the $DWCPF charts today?

    Or four? : )
    I like TSPTalk and I think most people here are well-intentioned but if I followed their advice, I'd be hunkered down in my basement with a thousand cans of tuna fish.

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  15. #8648

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FAB1 View Post
    Jason,

    IS that 3 White Soldiers I see on the $DWCPF charts today?

    Or four? : )
    Impressive...
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  17. #8649

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Weekend Review: For myself, I’m currently in the S-Fund, up .54% MTD and down -4.49% YTD (I haven't lost performance with myself, but I have lost ground against the indexes)
    In hindsight, my decision to exit the markets on 18-Feb, made for a great monthly performance, but also lead me into a horrible March start. Having said that, the market's outlook was significantly more bearish back then, so I don't consider my choice to be a mistake, but it was the wrong decision. For now, I won't be catching up with the markets, but I will be looking for a 3-4% gain in March.

    Trading the Stats:*Week 10

    2016-10-D-JTH.png
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats


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  19. #8650

    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    I banked some gains and diversified the remaining funds favoring S & I with a toe in the F fund as well.

    This way if the market moves to fill the lower gap I can shed stocks and hopefully beat the G fund for the rest of March and if the market continues up towards JTH's 2081 line the gains will also kill the G fund.

    Just was not comfortable with a 100% single index IFT like I usually commit to. Good Luck All!
    I like TSPTalk and I think most people here are well-intentioned but if I followed their advice, I'd be hunkered down in my basement with a thousand cans of tuna fish.

  20.  
  21. #8651

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FAB1 View Post
    I banked some gains and diversified the remaining funds favoring S & I with a toe in the F fund as well.

    This way if the market moves to fill the lower gap I can shed stocks and hopefully beat the G fund for the rest of March and if the market continues up towards JTH's 2081 line the gains will also kill the G fund.

    Just was not comfortable with a 100% single index IFT like I usually commit to. Good Luck All!
    I hear ya, there are times when I'm very convicted to do split allocations, some folks here in the forum do this very well. Unfortunate, because of my black & white style thinking, I don't tend to perform well with split allocations, (probably because it pulls me into too many directions). For now, the main objective is to re-gain some lost ground against the S&P 500 and eek out a 2-3% gain for the month. That Feb exit is really biting me in the azz, so I may need to stay invested for the month, in order to reset the IFT in & out play in April.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  23. #8652

    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    I hear ya, there are times when I'm very convicted to do split allocations, some folks here in the forum do this very well. Unfortunate, because of my black & white style thinking, I don't tend to perform well with split allocations, (probably because it pulls me into too many directions). For now, the main objective is to re-gain some lost ground against the S&P 500 and eek out a 2-3% gain for the month. That Feb exit is really biting me in the azz, so I may need to stay invested for the month, in order to reset the IFT in & out play in April.
    I need to steer clear of any more October-type downdrafts since I finally recovered those losses. I prefer to play "All In" but until the market starts making New Highs again I am hunkering down as the indexes get drawn-out in these extended rallies.

    Doesn't sound like much but my March goal is to overtake the G fund (again) and stay above it.

    C fund appears to be weaker but can the S & I keep on trucking to reach their 200 day emas?

    Whatever will help you wont hurt me either. Hope you get to your March goal.
    I like TSPTalk and I think most people here are well-intentioned but if I followed their advice, I'd be hunkered down in my basement with a thousand cans of tuna fish.

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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
JTH's Account Talk
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
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JTH's Account Talk
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