Thread: JTH's Account Talk

Thanks so much JTH. I look forward to your updates every week. So helpful!

FS

Don't care for this volaitle price action we've been seeing recently, so I'm stepping into the G-Fund

JTH EoB Today 100G

JTH-ALPAFS EoB Today 100G

WTF?

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All I can figure is post-Yellen/pre-rate increase fear ... basically "selling the news." As we know, bond price moves inversely to interest rates. Well, when the Fed's words came in yesterday, benchmarks like 10 and 20 year treasury bonds jumped by something like 2-3%. If that holds, everything before them is worth a lot less as a I understand it, so older bonds are getting dumped hard.

Only thing saving anyone in the F-Fund is that it's an aggregate bond fund. There's a whole lot of stuff in there besides 10-year treasuries, so it's much less susceptible to big bond market swings. 0.5 to 1.0% is bad, but a lot better than a single day 3% loss being felt elsewhere in bond markets. One article said you could compare this to the DOW shedding 500 points in one session. But, I guess bonds are boring so nobody cares that they just crapped their drawers.

ALPAFS is still on a sell, with SPX/W4500/TRAN/NDX all giving bearish price objectives.

I'll be keeping a close eye on the markets, looking for that ideal entry point (which I haven't gotten much in 2015)

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JTH
love yer posts
Let us know when you see the IDEAL entry

Originally Posted by shitepoke

JTH
love yer posts
Let us know when you see the IDEAL entry

Thanks, looks like I got burned on Friday...

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Trading the Stats:***Week 49

Thanks again JTH for the great information. Looking at how things have shaken out in November and so far this month...the bots must be reading the historical data and coming out with contrarian strategies. So often it seems like the history says "up" and the market has gone down or vice versa. Wish I could be a fly on the wall in the bots server room..

FS

JTH-ESD moves into the F-Fund

I saw you stated you would make the F Fund move on your blog. Back into S Fund COB the 15th. Is that date seasonal/stats based or biased by FOMC? Or Both? Thanks.