JTH, what are the JTH-ESD moves based on?
S&P 500 testing the top of the yellow-boxed trading range
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Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
JTH, what are the JTH-ESD moves based on?
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
At 3.26%, week 40 is now in the books, 2nd best over past 12 years, 7th best over past 66 years
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Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
From my Blog Trading the Stats: Week 41
Useless Data (strength follows strength)
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Over the past 788 months, the average monthly return is .69%Like this month, from 1950, there have only been 16 months which have started out with trading days 1-3 up, 4th day down, and days 5-7 upOf those 16 occasions, 15 closed positive, with a total average monthly return of 4.18%The one month which did close down was -.10%2015 - Wk 41 - MISC.png
Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
TRAN droppin like a rock
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Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
I love the Tranny, she speaks the truth (even when the other indexes refuse to listen)
Side-by-side YTD performance of SPX/TRAN shows us just how far in advance there was trouble brewing in the markets
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Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
If you click on the PNF Links, you will see that in relation to the S&P 500, the other Indexs show less strength over the past 10 columns.
While the S&P 500 has created spread double top within the yellow box, the other indexes have not reached those comparative levels.
Bottom line, when large caps lead the markets, is it really a legitimate rally?
W4500/TRAN/NASDAQ 100
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Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
Thanks JTH. A great question.
One of the reasons I love this forum is because there are so many "rationale" minds providing their independent viewpoint and they are all worth considering. The one thing I am learning is that you have to separate reality from emotion. For example, someone recently wrote that "We can find plenty of fault in the FED but investors and fund managers just as much. The writing is everywhere and has been visible for a long time. Moreover the Feds history of creating and mismanaging bubbles is well documented and recent at that. So to place so much faith in the FED or other central bankers or that the government of China is truthful about their data or that corporate earnings are good (when clearly they are not; and that’s with the aid of massive buyback mind you) is merely a reflection of greed and how that greed makes you completely unintelligent in your positive macro stance. Then again maybe investors and managers are just plain stupid."
The benefit of this forum is that we're not trying to sell anything to anyone. We're all just trying to have adequate awareness to support our investment decisions and make an honest buck. The comments and analysis provided here are worth the investment of time, and my sincere appreciation to you, and the many others who work to help provide meaningful data to make good decisions.
FS
FogSailing
Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.
I like TSPTalk and I think most people here are well-intentioned but if I followed their advice, I'd be hunkered down in my basement with a thousand cans of tuna fish.
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