Thread: JTH's Account Talk

-3.25 is a high price to pay to "see" the bottom, up close and personal like.

I'll wait for the home video release.

Good morning

Both SPX & Tran have triggered a Low Pole Reversal (where the current column of Xs have regained more than half the previous column of Os). This is not a trend reversal, but it could be the beginning of one. In the meantime, the trend is still down.

I'm putting JTH-ALPAFS back into the C-Fund. While I do not have a buy signal, this system has triggered a partial buy based on something I call the 20 box rule and based on the IFT reset tomorrow.

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Unusual close on Friday for AGG, both today's open & close were above the upper Bollinger Band

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JTH- what's it mean O wise one...

Originally Posted by shitepoke

JTH- what's it mean O wise one...

Good question, I wish I could make sense of bonds as easily as stocks. My guess it it will need to pullback some to get back within the Bollinger Bands, the last time this happened was on 6 Jan 2015, we can see the results below.

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A while back, I purchased a new PC. Unfortunately, due to "operator error" I managed to delete the vast majority of my excel files, meaning I've lost several trading systems and my entire statistical database. It's been very depressing because I've put countless hours into this process, but I'm now at the point where I'm ready to begin anew and start building again. In the meantime, here's what the next 3 months look like, over the past 20 years.

1) Over the past 2 years, the months of October, November, and December have closed positive

2) October has a 65% winning ratio, with stronger average positive gains (that's good)

3) November has a 75% winning ratio, with stronger negative average gains (still good, but use caution)

4) December has a 75% winning ratio, with stronger average positive gains (that's very good)

Note: The average gains for October are 1.65% which happens to be the current gains over the past 2 days, perhaps I should quit while I'm ahead

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Thanks for the helpful information JTH. I hope there is still 1.65% to be had for the rest of October..

FS

+ .92 for this month. I'll gladly take more and even exceed 1.65 if you guys don't want to go over that!

For the 4th Quarter, covering the 4 quarters of the year, over the past 40 years

65% winning ratio, ranking 3rd of 4

4.82% average positive gains, ranking 2nd of 4

1.61% average gains, ranking 4th of 4 (last place)

-4.37% average negative gains, ranking 3rd of 4

Based on the overall ranking, the 4th quarter ranks as the worst performing quarter over the past 40 years

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For October, covering the 12 months of the year, over the past 20 years

65% winning ratio, ranking 5th of 12

4.62% average positive gains, ranking 1st of 12 (first place)

1.65% average gains, ranking 4th of 12

-3.87% average negative gains, ranking 7th of 12

Based on the overall ranking, October ranks as the 5th best performing month over the past 20 years

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For Week 40, covering the 13 weeks of 40-52, over the past 11 years

55% winning ratio, ranking 9th of 13

2.12% average positive gains, ranking 4th of 13

-1.11% average gains, ranking 13th of 13th (last place)

-4.98% average negative gains, ranking 13th of 13 (last place)

Based on the overall ranking, week 40 ranks 12th of 13 over the past 11 years

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