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Thread: JTH's Account Talk

  1. #6577

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Dow Transports hit another new high - how many more highs to come and how many will you miss.

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  3. #6578

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Rules:
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    - Don't put stuff in your signature that a Mod doesn't like

    "Government exists to protect all people’s rights, not some people’s feelings." - A. Barton Hinkle

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  5. #6579

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    Dow Transports hit another new high - how many more highs to come and how many will you miss.
    I don't want to break my streak this year.
    11.80% for 2012, 24.79% for 2013, -5.13% for 2014 , 4.94% for 2015 WTF?, -0.04% for 2016 , 13.09% for 2017======= 8.23% , Moved to Vanguard in 2018


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  7. #6580

    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Intrepid_Timer View Post
    Another lie. Here is your chart saying as much. You had a double pattern lose money just recently, although something else, perhaps another double pattern, caused you to stay in your position longer than you originally anticipated. Now perhaps you're last 7 S fund trades have been profitable, so let's looks at that shall we? BTW, I'm now seeing single patterns thrown into the mix? I don't see any double or single patterns prior to 2012? Should everyone expect that didn't change your back tested data or were there just not any double or single patterns from 2007 to 2012? That would be strange, but whatever.

    Okay, so here's your own chart with all your double patterns (I actually count 10, not 7) in the black and red boxes. One thing that sticks out to me is that there were only two occasions where your double patterns made even close to 2% in a month. Most are under 0.75%. So, even if your double patterns are 100% accurate over a 12 month period, if you are averaging say 0.75% per trade, that's not even 10% per year right? I think I'd prefer better returns versus "supposedly" being 100% accurate.

    Now, let's look at your return for last year. You system started off the year making 11.90% over the first there months of the year. Congratulations, that was awesome! But why did it then only make about 2.72% over the next nine months? You are now up what, 9-10%? Are we to assume you are pretty much done for the year again?

    Sorry for intruding on your thread JTH. Just keeping it real........and truthful.
    Never fails to amuse: Intrepid and his ASSUMATIONS. Folks, this is one big reason why you don't translate someone else's "system."

    Double patterns may lose, but it's the entry from start to finish that counts. That's why it's called double-pattern entries.
    Let me explain it to you in terms you can understand. Before you shoot the ball, you should first look for an open player or a good spot to shoot (entry). Now, I have a double pattern starting next Tuesday. I look around and see an open pattern 3/grn-red-red (WP: 57.0%) today (Friday). Do you think I should pass up on a bullish single pattern who's all alone under the basket or take advantage of it? Well, today's double-pattern entry had a gain of +0.69%, so that answers that question. By the way, I discovered the double patterns only last year (no records for 2007-2012). All 7 double-pattern entries in the S-fund were live calls, not backtested. Successful in 7 out of 7 tries.

    Double-patterns take precedence over single or triple patterns, and allow the system to be in equities (S-fund), even if our current triple pattern (4-4-4) is bearish. Don't assume that triple patterns can't change direction during the year. By the way, the system gained 3.0% in April, 4.12% in May, so don't try to go by your twisted calculations. :toung:

    I mentioned before that from 2007-2012, all 14 triple patterns were successful. Last year (2013), all 3 triple patterns failed to beat the S-fund. This year, all 3 triple patterns have been right, so far. Everything has its cycle.

    Sorry for the post, JTH. This should be the last one.

  8.  
  9. #6581

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Rules:
    - Trade what you see, not what you believe
    - Don't put stuff in your signature that a Mod doesn't like

    "Government exists to protect all people’s rights, not some people’s feelings." - A. Barton Hinkle

    Great Tools:
    http://www.CreditKarma.com
    http://www.Mint.com
    http://www.SaveUp.com/r/nmJ

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  11. #6582

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by ebbnflow View Post
    Never fails to amuse: Intrepid and his ASSUMATIONS. Folks, this is one big reason why you don't translate someone else's "system."

    Double patterns may lose, but it's the entry from start to finish that counts. That's why it's called double-pattern entries.
    Let me explain it to you in terms you can understand. Before you shoot the ball, you should first look for an open player or a good spot to shoot (entry). Now, I have a double pattern starting next Tuesday. I look around and see an open pattern 3/grn-red-red (WP: 57.0%) today (Friday). Do you think I should pass up on a bullish single pattern who's all alone under the basket or take advantage of it? Well, today's double-pattern entry had a gain of +0.69%, so that answers that question. By the way, I discovered the double patterns only last year (no records for 2007-2012). All 7 double-pattern entries in the S-fund were live calls, not backtested. Successful in 7 out of 7 tries.

    Double-patterns take precedence over single or triple patterns, and allow the system to be in equities (S-fund), even if our current triple pattern (4-4-4) is bearish. Don't assume that triple patterns can't change direction during the year. By the way, the system gained 3.0% in April, 4.12% in May, so don't try to go by your twisted calculations. :toung:

    I mentioned before that from 2007-2012, all 14 triple patterns were successful. Last year (2013), all 3 triple patterns failed to beat the S-fund. This year, all 3 triple patterns have been right, so far. Everything has its cycle.

    Sorry for the post, JTH. This should be the last one.
    My question was about the last 9 months of last year, but I guess we'll just forget about that.

    Since you discovered the double patterns last year and have no records for 2007-2012 (why you can get data for triple patterns during those years but not double patterns is strange, or deceitful), then you are basically testing a new system and you still think everyone should follow your lead? Um, okay...............good luck with your holy grail.

    I'm glad you are amused. All those poor people that didn't make squat following your lead for 5 years probably aren't amused. Some people think this is a game, but I don't.

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  13. #6583

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk


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  15. #6584

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by RealMoneyIssues View Post
    Sir, that's two free refills already. Please save some for others..................

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  17. #6585

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Intrepid_Timer View Post
    Sir, that's two free refills already. Please save some for others..................
    Sorry, its a long show with multiple intermissions... oh, and the popcorn is good too
    Rules:
    - Trade what you see, not what you believe
    - Don't put stuff in your signature that a Mod doesn't like

    "Government exists to protect all people’s rights, not some people’s feelings." - A. Barton Hinkle

    Great Tools:
    http://www.CreditKarma.com
    http://www.Mint.com
    http://www.SaveUp.com/r/nmJ

  18.  
  19. #6586

    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    popcorn is free over in my system's thread. so is the beer. plus i don't mind if anybody starts cussing or pulling hair. in fact, i kind of like it that way.
    100g

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  21. #6587

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk


    AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149
    Too much data to post the entire thing, here's the top 149, if you want to know where you stand, just ask.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  23. #6588

    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    How did the topic of Technical analysis by JTH turned into a fight of whose system is better? Honestly Ebbs and IT system is great, I think its just a matter of preference of which to follow. Hell I think Birchtree "Mega Bull" system is great too. He's been buying and holding for years and making great money out of it, it's just not my style.


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