The market dipped on modest volume and futures are fading. Stronger follow-thru (down) tomorrow (11/13/15) before the weekend, perhaps?
Market rocketed up at least 8% since its bottom and I had no positive part of that:
And here we sit at a trailing EPS of 23 in the SPY and what the heck went through the minds of people throwing all this money back in in October? Beats me. I have traders block right now and would love to finish the year in the green but I didn't see the last opportunity and I'm not seeing the next one, notwithstanding seasonality. What I do see are gaps below to be filled and potential retracement down at least 5%. But since when does that happen this time of year? I thought it would already - and then be poised for a santa rally but this isn't this year's pattern.
Hence - I'm so completely confused I'm going to try a premium service for a while and see how that goes. I'll stop in from time to time.
The market dipped on modest volume and futures are fading. Stronger follow-thru (down) tomorrow (11/13/15) before the weekend, perhaps?
Oh my: Perhaps a little steeper decline now due on Monday; but if a typhoon/nuclear meltdown caused only a fairly short (albeit steep) blip, maybe this terrorism act effect will be brief as well. Could be opportunity? Maybe, maybe not.
updrift ever since my last post, on seasonably weak volume so it means little:
Next week....jobs report, and a likely tiny interest rate rise to follow (on 12/16). Weakness in Asia. My blindness continues (no prediction).
That is for this yr. I am just stating facts with a little opinion, but past 10 yr. annual return in S is 9.44%, a solid return. In 2013 S was +38.35% and the closest TSP Premium svc was nearly 10% away. Many people are smarter than the market, but I think Buffett is right that most people in the long run aren't.
Current Allocation = 95%G, 5% F, Feb 4, 2016
I read somewhere this week Amoeba that the Fed WON'T raise interest rates but will defer into 2016. Only reason I mention it is because I too have been in the mindset that it's 100% percent decided but then I thought...hmmmm...maybe not. Interesting to think about.
FS
FogSailing
Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.
I'll bet you Buffet knows this:
if you had $1 and you had a annual return of 100% then you would have $2, but if you lost a dollar the next year (-50%), you would have $1 left. If you average 100% and -50%, you get an annual return of 25% per year, even though you made nothing.
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes |
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