Thread: James48843 Account Talk

Once again, the "C" fund and the "I" fund are both moving upward stronger than the "S" fund. Again, that tells me more that this is a more mature stage in the run up than I had thought, and that makes me want to split up my holdings and diversify a bit.

Moving today to a position of "33% "S", 34% C, and 33% "I" fund, effective close of business today.

Note- I love when the year starts out with a nice little bang. Gives me hope.

Look at where we are now:

C= +6.04%

S=+4.86%

I=+5.34%

Can anybody tell me where we've finished a whole month with all three stock funds going up THAT MUCH, and we're only 3/4 way into the month?

in HISTORY?:

We've only had like ONE MONTH *(In Oct of 2011 we did a positive in double digits

10.93%

14.09%

9.48%

but that was only after a NEGATIVE in double digits the month before!

We've had returns totaling this much or more very very seldom in my 30 years of watching this.

We are, right now, in I think the TOP TEN BEST RETURNS MONTHS EVER-


I'm telling you- this is NOT NORMAL, and it's GOT TO BREAK ANY DAY NOW.

For 2017 the "C" fund did not have a negative month, the "I" fund had 2 negative months (June & August) and the "S" fund had 3 negative months (March, June & August).

Originally Posted by James48843

I'm telling you- this is NOT NORMAL, and it's GOT TO BREAK ANY DAY NOW.

I agree, it's not normal. However, that cautiousness kept me out of the market for most of this profitable month.

James, you're gonna spook the herd! =:-o

It reminds me of January 2013 where we had:

C Fund: 5.18%
S Fund: 6.96%
I Fund: 4.45%

This won't keep going up at that rate for ever, but what do you do about it? You can get out now and loose any possible further gain or you stay in and ride out any possible future correction. As I see it this is still a buy and hold market and trying to time it will only reduce your returns. That's how I only ended up with half the possible returns in 2013.

UNCLE!

bAILED TODAY.

went 50% "G" and 50% "L Income".

To me that is extreme safety.

Hope I did the right thing.

Good luck!

Thinking today is the day things begin to sink.

Jobs overall didn’t look too bad, but black unemployment jumped from 6.7 to 7.1.

Still no pressure on wages. I think we are now at the point where growth takes a small breather, the market drops a little, and then in a month or two we Can reassess.


Glad I am out.

The pause that refreshes-


Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

I think you timed it right ....I'm about ready to give it up too and lick my wounds and enjoy what I have left from jan

Now...what to do...what to do.

Sitting on the sidelines with a pile of cash- is this all there is? Or is this just the typical third day fakeout rebound, which leads to another tumble downward in a day or two?

I hate days like this- because you just can't tell for sure which way things are about to go. I'm TEMPTED to jump back in for a quick in and out gain try.


But then again, there is honor in capital preservation.

I need some more coffee and to think about this one for a bit. Still have another 45 mintues before the deadline to decide....

What do YOU think?

Should I jump back in? If yes, why? If no, Why not?

I'm already in so I'm going to ride it out. If I were out I would wait for a confirmation of a turn and a resumption of of the upward movement before going in. I don't think we are going to get that right away.