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Thread: James48843 Account Talk

  1. #637

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Why not just invest in the L2040 or L2050. I think they are well diversified enough to show some pretty competitive gains, compared to the F, C and W funds.
    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    ok- I am STILL thinking this is a VERY lofty level, which has not had any kind of a pullback in quite some time!

    So I am adjusting some more. Now going to :

    50%= L-Income

    15%= C Fund

    25% = S Fund

    10% = I Fund


    That makes this portfolio about 38% "G" fund right now- with the slightly more "S" than "C" in the holdings- similar to a "L-2030" type allocation, except leaning more heavily on small caps than the actual L-2030 does. (More S than C, whereas L-2030 is much more "C" than "S").


    I can't believe we're not having a correction of some kind by now. My gut tells me it is time for a small correction. !!

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  3. #638

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by felinecrl View Post
    Why not just invest in the L2040 or L2050. I think they are well diversified enough to show some pretty competitive gains, compared to the F, C and W funds.
    Because the L2040 and L2050 are, in my opinion, too heavy in S&P500 and too light in smaller and midsize (S fund).

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  5. #639

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    ok- Now I am REALLY starting to itch at the back of my neck, for a drop in the market in the near term.

    Moving today to 50% "G fund" for safety, and 50% "L-Income", just because I can't bring myself to going ALL G at this point.

    Hoping for a good day to move to sidelines, and then next couple of weeks seeing lower.


    WE shall see. Good luck!


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  7. #640

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Tom:

    Put me down for a low of 2464 in the next three weeks on the S&P500. I’m seeing that as being the support level to expect- maybe 2454 , but I’m on a better than 50/50 feeling of 2464.

    Just saying- it’s time for a breather.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

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  9. #641

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Tom:

    Put me down for a low of 2464 in the next three weeks on the S&P500. I’m seeing that as being the support level to expect- maybe 2454 , but I’m on a better than 50/50 feeling of 2464.

    Just saying- it’s time for a breather.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
    Was thinking the same....maybe even 1 percent lower....closer to 2430.
    Thats the level of that "open gap" from early July that Tom Crowley mentioned several weeks ago.

    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  11. #642

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Well, here we are.

    Gut says no.

    But something else says yes.

    Moving to "S" fund today.

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  13. #643

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Ohhhhh this hurts Soooooo bad.

    I am still 100% FULLY invested, and have gotten the gains of the last two weeks- but I am still thinking that ANY DAY NOW ITS GOT TO COME CRASHING DOWN!!!

    Seriously- does anybody else think that we will have a "buy on the rumor, sell on the news" moment if and when the tax plan gets voted on?

    1. If it passes, then we are out of news for a while, and the markets will take a break.

    2. If, for some reason, it DOESN'T pass, then will all heck break loose and the tower comes crashing down?


    I just don't understand how fast it has climbed, and common sense says it's GOT to take a break sometime! And here I sit FULLY EXPOSED!

    (SIGH)

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  15. #644

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    I just don't understand how fast it has climbed, and common sense says it's GOT to take a break sometime! And here I sit FULLY EXPOSED!

    (SIGH)
    I think the only thing that will crash the system will be an international incident. Record Consumer Confidence during a retail heavy season, fairly level commodities market and oil is even (for now). I think your exposure is fine.
    THIS IS WHERE I WOULD PUT SOMETHING TO REPRESENT MY THINKING, BUT THEN THEY SHOW UP!
    Tracker =
    Check my position

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  17. #645

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    I bailed.

    Moving to 80% "G"; 10% L-Income, and playing with 10% "I" fund from here.

    Note: I saw that the TSP Thirift Board has been discussing changing the makeup of the "I fund", to a total world fund, as opposed to the current developed markets only international fund. Good, They need to do that. Call me when it is done and I will dump more into the I fund.

    Article on the proposed changes to the "I Fund" makeup: https://www.fedsmith.com/2017/11/30/...-proposed-tsp/

    Good article.

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  19. #646

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Ohhhhh this hurts Soooooo bad.

    And here I sit FULLY EXPOSED!

    (SIGH)
    Good question, When do you close the trench coat. Unfortunately I've had it closed all year languishing in the G fund, so I'll be working until I'm 80... Good job, I'm envious!

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  21. #647

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    G fund all year? 😢 Wow man, you missed out on something really special. You don't get many of these opportunities in life.

    You can make more in one or two weeks invested then you can in the G fund for years.

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  23. #648

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Rocket man is being quiet.

    No neo evacuation yet from Korea.

    So I'm moving BACK into stocks.


    Nervous here but taking the risk.

    100% "S" today at noon.


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