The TSP is close on Monday. Per tsp.gov: Some financial markets will be closed on Monday, October 10th in observance of the Columbus Day holiday. The Thrift Savings Plan will also be closed. Transactions that would have been processed Monday night (October 10th) will be processed Tuesday night (October 11th), at Tuesday's closing share prices.
Moving back to the "G" fund.
So far this year, I am in 139th place. Not a bad place to be half-way into the first month.
And I have a positive 2+ % return.
If I can only do that 11 more months, I will have a nice year, eh?
Here is to making the best of things in 2017.
Oh man... I'm sitting here in the "S" fund, and thinking- "Should we SELL IN MAY AND WALK AWAY"?
I am thinking this run up has moved sideways enough for a while- that it might be time to bail out for the "...SELL IN MAY" idea.
What do YOU think?
Is it time to preserve the balance?
James,
This is what May has looked like over the last few years. I'm thinking maybe 50/50 "CS" for May.
May.xlsx
May the force be with us.
Well, I'm pretty much a 0% YTD... so capital preservation it would be. A few folks have posted buy signals, we still have a good week to go.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
5 winning years in a row? Yeah not sure about that.
I was just looking at all three stock charts today- S&P 500; 4500 completion, and the EFA, and all three are telling me we've hit resistance, a top, and are now regrouping.
I am thinking the next several weeks will be significantly lower than where we are here.
I am sitting 95% on the sidelines in "G" right now- and plan to stay that way for a bit.
Have a great day.
ok- we're lower than we were when I last sold.
So I'm thinking it's time to risk some more.
Back into the stocks for a quick rebound over the weekend. Wish me luck!
Moving to:
10% "C"
50 % "S"
40% "I" at Close of Business today.
Getting nervous. Something isn't quite right.
I can't put my finger on it, but I have decided that I am going to start moving away from stocks and towards capital preservation. (NNuut has taught me well).
Moving 30% of my holdings over into the L Income fund- as that is safer than where I am now, but still has upward potential if I am overcautious.
As of COB today, I will be sitting at : 30% L Income; 20% C fund, 40% S Fund; and 10% in the I Fund.
That protects a little bit. Every little bit helps.
ok- I am STILL thinking this is a VERY lofty level, which has not had any kind of a pullback in quite some time!
So I am adjusting some more. Now going to :
50%= L-Income
15%= C Fund
25% = S Fund
10% = I Fund
That makes this portfolio about 38% "G" fund right now- with the slightly more "S" than "C" in the holdings- similar to a "L-2030" type allocation, except leaning more heavily on small caps than the actual L-2030 does. (More S than C, whereas L-2030 is much more "C" than "S").
I can't believe we're not having a correction of some kind by now. My gut tells me it is time for a small correction. !!
Uh, oh... Not the James gut indicator!
That's been working pretty well over the years, if I recall.
Tom
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
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