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Thread: clester's Account Talk

  1. #2161

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Highland, CA
    Posts
    64

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    Depending on which MA's are being used...I'm looking at the Wilder's SMMAs for EFA and it looks like it made it past 50SMMA and is in a a 100SMMA/50SMMA squeeze at the moment. I had the I Fund itself in a 100DMA/10DMA squeeze prior to yesterday, but it had just barely cleared 100DMA by $0.03 after yesterday's close. With EFA climbing, it looks like a very good sign to me.

    I usually have the same thoughts on bull markets. I try to keep the amount of time I spend in the G Fund to an absolute minimum. It's about impossible to time the market, so I've started to keep at least a small amount of my money in play once I think the fund(s) appear more likely to see a pull-back.
    70C/30S as of 12/15/2014

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  3. #2162

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    Well my RSI targets haven't been hit so I'm in for next month. I would rather be in C or S funds but not ready to use a trade just for that. The euro is going to hurt the I fund as it works lower but its due a bounce.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  5. #2163

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    If you still had an IFT for August why didn't you use it to rebalance to C or S? Friday was your last chance. Use it or lose it.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  7. #2164

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Cactus View Post
    If you still had an IFT for August why didn't you use it to rebalance to C or S? Friday was your last chance. Use it or lose it.
    I could have but I'm expecting a sell signal soon and jumping around funds gets me in trouble a lot.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  9. #2165

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    I can relate to that.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  11. #2166

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    No problems yet and I still have buy signals on all stock funds. C and S are looking good and still below RSI of 70 and above 50 dma. I fund is still in limbo because it hasn't gotten above its 50Dma yet but still looks OK. Its a little scary seeing the topping tail that has developed today esp on S fund but my system doesnt look at that.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  13. #2167

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    No problems yet and I still have buy signals on all stock funds. C and S are looking good and still below RSI of 70 and above 50 dma. I fund is still in limbo because it hasn't gotten above its 50Dma yet but still looks OK. Its a little scary seeing the topping tail that has developed today esp on S fund but my system doesnt look at that.
    Nice pop over the 50 dma for the I fund. C and S have a little further to go before they get to overbought via RSI over 70. I give the S fund a little more leeway so it can go up to 80.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  15. #2168

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    Europe getting big bounce in their stocks due to Draghi but the euro is completely offsetting gains. I fund probably won't go up too much today.
    But euro is way oversold so I expect it to bounce soon. Hope it holds 1.30
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  17. #2169

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    Europe getting big bounce in their stocks due to Draghi but the euro is completely offsetting gains. I fund probably won't go up too much today.
    But euro is way oversold so I expect it to bounce soon. Hope it holds 1.30
    C fund has RSI this morning of 67.7 and a 70 is the sell 50% trigger. Still looks like another 10 points or so up to 2020 ish. S fund at 66 has plenty of room and I fund just getting above 50 dma with plenty of room for upside with RSI at about 58.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average


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  19. #2170

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    C fund has RSI this morning of 67.7 and a 70 is the sell 50% trigger. Still looks like another 10 points or so up to 2020 ish. S fund at 66 has plenty of room and I fund just getting above 50 dma with plenty of room for upside with RSI at about 58.
    The euro is killing I fund. -1.58%. It is way oversold and euro stocks up almost as much so they cancel out. Euro should bounce or at least stabilize.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  21. #2171

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    The euro is killing I fund. -1.58%. It is way oversold and euro stocks up almost as much so they cancel out. Euro should bounce or at least stabilize.
    I fund could not hold the 50 dma. The S fund failed near it's last high. The C fund is testing its breakout from its last high.

    However, C and S funds are above their 50 dma and I fund is near its 50 dma. All RSI's are in good shape because they never reached the 70 level (sell trigger). As long as the C and S hold above their 50 dma they are still a buy. I fund is in no mans land (neutral to negative since it failed at the 50dma). I am considering a move to C or S funds since they are both above the 50dma.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  23. #2172

    Default Re: clester's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    I fund could not hold the 50 dma. The S fund failed near it's last high. The C fund is testing its breakout from its last high.

    However, C and S funds are above their 50 dma and I fund is near its 50 dma. All RSI's are in good shape because they never reached the 70 level (sell trigger). As long as the C and S hold above their 50 dma they are still a buy. I fund is in no mans land (neutral to negative since it failed at the 50dma). I am considering a move to C or S funds since they are both above the 50dma.
    Decided to move to C fund due to reasons above. It is also performing the best YTD. Looking for its RSI to get to 70 to sell 50% which should be a couple of percentage points higher.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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