Yeah good question. I think Europe is getting stronger. They starting QE after us and are getting ready to wind it down I think. That's part of it.
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It seems the strength of the dollar is a primary factor in I fund performance. Dollar weakens, I fund strengthens. Sooooo.... what is the driver of the falling dollar?
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Yeah good question. I think Europe is getting stronger. They starting QE after us and are getting ready to wind it down I think. That's part of it.
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100 G
RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average
That being said, I think the dollar won't weaken much farther.
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100 G
RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average
I should be 100% stocks according to my system. We are in a bull market and price is above the 50 dma and we are at new highs . But, now that I'm out I find it hard to jump back in. My sixth sense says be careful. September is a tough month usually.
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100 G
RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average
Looking at the charts, C fund has set up a negative divergence via RSI to price. Lower RSI highs while making higher highs in price. Its been that way for a while but should cause a downtrend soon. Unless the RSI breaks above its trend. I still feel cautious here and plan on waiting until around mid October before loading up again. Mainly based on seasonality which I don't usually follow that closely. Too many traders have been expecting the pull back. When that happens the market does the opposite.
100 G
RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average
So divergence didn’t pan out but now S fund is way overbought and C fund is nearly overbought via rsi. Good time to sell at least part of your position. Unfortunately, I’ve been out for awhile.
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100 G
RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average
Been gone a while. Finally have something to work with. Nice pull back. RSI is in a buy but my system requires a bottoming pattern. A lower low with a higher rsi. So, waiting and watching. A buy signal is coming soon.
100 G
RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
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