benitocj's Account Talk

**benitocj** · 10-27-2007, 11:09 PM

Trying to follow the rules, so... since I MUST have this - I MUST. So here it is.
Want to follow my returns with the Automated Tracker, figure if everyone is racing, why not join?

So I have a monkey that throws darts and want to see where it takes me if I do what monkey says.

**benitocj** · 10-29-2007, 12:40 PM

DATE------ DAY------- IFT
29OCT2007 MONDAY...... I
30OCT2007 TUESDAY..... I
31OCT2007 WEDNESDAY..I
01NOV2007 THURSDAY.....I

I am going to follow my model, and see what results I get. It says, I fund for the whole week.

**fabijo** · 10-29-2007, 01:04 PM

So, does your monkey consider other funds? Or is it strictly G or I?

**Show-me** · 10-29-2007, 01:04 PM

Good luck!

**benitocj** · 10-29-2007, 02:03 PM

Originally Posted by fabijo

So, does your monkey consider other funds? Or is it strictly G or I?

At this point yes G and I - but that is only because the I has been doing pretty well - I can teach it other tricks - if S or C do better.

I looked at historical data, and S, I and C seemed to follow the same trend for most part; getting too complex, I think, would just introduce more type II error. I want to keep it simple for now, and see how it goes.

**Reactive1** · 10-29-2007, 02:58 PM

Good luck!

**benitocj** · 10-30-2007, 12:29 PM

DATE............DAY............IFT
02NOV2007....FRIDAY.........G

That means on Friday by 12 noon EST I will do an IFT to G.

**benitocj** · 10-30-2007, 11:37 PM

Guess today was not a good day for my model - one strike against!
Still training my monkey - hopefully I can teach it to do better.

**benitocj** · 11-02-2007, 03:51 PM

Great - been trainning my monkey all week. Put it through a vigurous Monte Carlo trainning program, and it has improved its aim (overall 68%)

It changed her mind about today Friday(Nov 2) and told me to stay on I.
Hopefully next week will be a better week.

DATE_______ DAY________IFT_(hit rate for end of Oct 2006 - Oct2007)
02NOV2007__ FRIDAY.........I....(63%)
05NOV2007__ MONDAY.......I....(66%)
06NOV2007__TUESDAY.......G...(65%)
07NOV2007__WEDNESDAY...I....(76%)
08NOV2007__THURSDAY.....?....(71%).

"?" = don't know yet how to use the hit, until I know what the monkey has to say for Nov9.

I will keep trainning her - hopefully she can get better hit rates.

**benitocj** · 11-07-2007, 12:14 PM

DATE______DAY_______IFT (YTD Hit Rate).
08NOV2007 THURSDAY...I............(70%)
09NOV2007 FRIDAY.......G............(71%)
12NOV2007 MONDAY.....HOLIDAY (67%)
13NOV2007 TUESDAY.... ?...........(75%)

Overall hit rate for Nov 6, 2006 to Nov 5, 2007 is 70%.
IFTs effective on the COB of date they are posted for.