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Thread: FundSurfer account talk

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    FundSurfer's Avatar
    FundSurfer is offline Club TSP
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    Today I'm 50% G, 40% C, 5% S, and 5% I.

    (I was 77% C, 11.5% S, 11.5% I since end of June and actually made this switch 9/20, but for purposes of tracking and not Monday Quarterbacking I'll track my gains/loss from today forward. I wish I'd gone 100% G like so many others but I wasn't totally confident. I guess more time will help my comfort level. So far I've done well with just a peaks and valleys long term type approach. It hasn't worked well in this choppy market and I'm moving toward being more aggressive.)
    A distribution of monkeys throwing darts to choose their allocations would likely have produced a higher performer ...-Desperado ... My Account & My Account Talk


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  3. #2
    namor is offline TSP Talker
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    Thanks for the plug.

    I hope nobody took my advice in October. That second week made the whole month like trying to climb out of the Grand Canyon. But, luckily, the market never stops trading, we will always have next week to look forward to.

    Good luck in November.

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    Yeah you got caught in a bad place for 3-4 days and it killed your month. Have you managed to bail yourself out? I haven't had time to enter in moves to see where everyone is for the month.
    A distribution of monkeys throwing darts to choose their allocations would likely have produced a higher performer ...-Desperado ... My Account & My Account Talk

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    Moved to 30%G, 30% C, 30% S. The I fund had a couple down days after a long run up, time for me to bail. I'll get back in fairly quickly once this trend ends. I'll probably miss a bounce but I'm sticking to what my system is telling me.... now I'll sound like Milk_Man.
    A distribution of monkeys throwing darts to choose their allocations would likely have produced a higher performer ...-Desperado ... My Account & My Account Talk

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  9. #5
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    FundSurfer wrote:
    Moved to 30%G, 30% C, 30% S. The I fund had a couple down days after a long run up, time for me to bail. I'll get back in fairly quickly once this trend ends. I'll probably miss a bounce but I'm sticking to what my system is telling me.... now I'll sound like Milk_Man.
    Is that a bad thing? :shock:It is a variation of my old system right? :P

    Good luck,

    M_M

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  11. #6
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    FundSurfer wrote:
    Moved to 30%G, 30% C, 30% S. The I fund had a couple down days after a long run up, time for me to bail. I'll get back in fairly quickly once this trend ends. I'll probably miss a bounce but I'm sticking to what my system is telling me.... now I'll sound like Milk_Man.
    Is that a bad thing? :shock:It is a variation of my old system right? :P

    Good luck,

    M_M

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    Yes, variation on your old system. No I don't think it is a bad thing, but I did think it was funny when I wrote it. :>
    A distribution of monkeys throwing darts to choose their allocations would likely have produced a higher performer ...-Desperado ... My Account & My Account Talk

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    Just pulled the trigger to go to 100%S. My justification is that S fund looks like it is going to have a big down day today. I think that this is too early in the month for a market slide to begin. I think a bounce will occur tommorrow and that the biggest bounce will be S fund. A drop of greater than 1% in a Bull market gives my indicators a buy. Right now S is down >1%. Don't know if it will hold for the day.

    I've seen Namor do this on many occasions and be a winner (a couple losers but mainly winners).
    A distribution of monkeys throwing darts to choose their allocations would likely have produced a higher performer ...-Desperado ... My Account & My Account Talk

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    puertorico is offline TSP Talker
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    agree tomorrow a good rally I bet on S too .
    after a sell off = rally...:^


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    retiredcg is offline Rookie
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    Fundsurfer -

    What is you prognostication for the I fund over the next day or so? Is it common for the EAFE to follow the same trend as the S - generally? I took a quick glance over the last year or so at the end of month/beginning of month periods. I see that with the exception of one month, the I fund showed a fair gain each time... I moved my remaining 20G into the I for the next few days... I'm now 25C, 25S and 50I.

    I've been buy and hold for some time, but I'd like to do some more frequent moves...

    Jim

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  21. #11
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    The dollar is up, thus the I-fund is down. Rumors about Japan trying to make moves to stabilize the dollar would act to strenghten dollar (or at least slow decline) adds to much chance for error for me. I will add that those who have gambled on the I-fund have been well rewarded of late. I like a little more confidence in my 'bets'. I have mixed feelings about I-fund thus I'm staying away. I will say that today is a good day to buy Ifor long term hold though.
    A distribution of monkeys throwing darts to choose their allocations would likely have produced a higher performer ...-Desperado ... My Account & My Account Talk

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  23. #12
    cowboy is offline Team TSP
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    retiredcg wrote:
    Fundsurfer -

    What is you prognostication for the I fund over the next day or so? Is it common for the EAFE to follow the same trend as the S - generally? I took a quick glance over the last year or so at the end of month/beginning of month periods. I see that with the exception of one month, the I fund showed a fair gain each time... I moved my remaining 20G into the I for the next few days... I'm now 25C, 25S and 50I.

    I've been buy and hold for some time, but I'd like to do some more frequent moves...

    Jim
    My thought is the I fund will drop tomorrow and maybe even the S & C funds also as were at the top of the hill and now we will be going down until it hits the new support level. Good luck everyone!



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