Thread: Dr Faustus's Account Talk

Thanks for the analysis, Dr.

Ahoy thar Matey!
I surley enjoy reading your analysis of Ebb's combined patterns and their history.
Good job and please continue when time permits!

Thanks Navy! I got into the office late yesterday and had an early meeting, so I didn't have a lot of time to do analysis, etc. When that happens, or when I know I'm not going to be near a computer, I typically go to G as I feel its better to hang on to what I've gained as opposed to betting on the market for two days or more in advance.

According to the EbbChart, we have pattern 4 on tap for tomorrow. Pattern 4 is generally good ( 23 hits; +0.25, -0.18, +1.61, +0.22, +6.63 ) but, as Q noted, pattern 2.4 is kind of lukewarm ( 2 hits; +0.00, -0.26, -0.30, -0.64, +0.71 ). But again, there have been only 2 hits on this pattern.

The I-fund looks like it is struggling today and the USMs are fighting to break the surface of the water as well. This might mean that they are going to do well tomorrow, but ... I can't explain it ... I feel something bad is on the horizon. So I'm going to continue to sit on the sidelines in G.

( Geez, I gotta stop watching "Squawk on the Street" in the AM .... I'm starting to sound like a 'real' market analyst )

Originally Posted by Dr Faustus

( Geez, I gotta stop watching "Squawk on the Street" in the AM .... I'm starting to sound like a 'real' market analyst )

lol If it makes ya feel better, I respect you a lot more than them.

lol ... thanks, Show-me!

The EbbChart has pattern 7 on tap for Thursday. Its compounded performance is quite poor ( 14 hits; +0.17, -0.71, -1.58, -1.78, -3.21 ) but ... and this is interesting ... this is mainly due to the contributions of two two-day patterns: 1.7 ( 5 hits; +0.08, -0.53, -3.97, -4.03, -4.65 ) and 6.7 ( 2 hits; +0.08, -0.53, -2.10, -2.45, -1.98 ).

The results for pattern 4.7 are somewhat different ( 3 hits; +0.00, 0.36, +1.79, +2.49, +0.87 ), this leads me to thinking that going into the S fund might be the way to go tomorrow (thursday, 9/27/07).

My bad vibes from yesterday don't seem to be panning out as the USMs are opening into positive territory. So ... I'm going into the S-fund for tomorrow.

On EbbnFlow's system, what do you mean when you say, "Pattern 3.2" and "Pattern 4.7?" I understand the number before the decimal. But I'm not following the number after the decimal.

Originally Posted by autiger83

On EbbnFlow's system, what do you mean when you say, "Pattern 3.2" and "Pattern 4.7?" I understand the number before the decimal. But I'm not following the number after the decimal.

I've examining two day patterns on the EbbChart. When I say Pattern 3.2, that means pattern 3 followed by pattern 2. For example, for thursday, the EbbChart is indicating pattern 7. For Wednesday, the EbbChart indicated pattern 4. Thus ... 4.7.

While I'm on the subject, when I list performance data, it is always in the form of ( # occurences, G-fund, F-fund, C-fund, S-fund, I-fund ). I've lapsed into shorthand on the last few posts because it was getting redundant to type (for the G, F, C, S and I funds respectively ).

Dan

It is a combination of two patterns. 4.7 would be pattern 4 today going to pattern 7 tomorrow. Go back on the Ebbchart historically and find this combination of two patterns and look at the at outcome when this combination happened.

Ebb indicates pattern 2 for Friday, which is very good overall for stocks ( 20 hits; +0.67, +0.64, +5.88, +4.39, +6.60 ) Pattern 7.2 isn't bad either ( 3 hits; +0.25, +0.36, +1.70, +0.84, +1.86 ) ... so I think I will go 100 % I for Friday.

Hey Dr. F, Ebb's thread keeps talking about pay-for-view and how much his viewers will pay, and when he is going to start. I guess that's all well and good cause he has put a lot of time into it and his charts are very successful. I like where you are at with including more parameters into the equation. I also like 'charmed' idea of including more than just the last years data in the equation. It's too bad that you guys can't get together and come up with the very best of products. That would help all of us in TSP maximize our retirement goals. I know that you have tried, and I'll give you an ada-boy for that. But I will still watch where you go before placing my IFT. Thanks for your efforts also.
Good luck!! (luck is where preparation meets opportunity!!!)

Dang Dr. F, you did it again. I was stuck with a a minimal .08%, while you were in the thick for .73%. But, we both missed out on the +1.38 I fund. Along with most of the TSPTalk players. I've been out of town, without the Web, and couldn't keep up with the threads. Oh well. I will try to pay more attention. My retirement welfare depends on it.