It is dumb to invest into a falling knife. I don't like the slope of the charts, but you have to be in to win and I have a plan!!!
G: 22%
F: 32%
C: 26%
S: 10%
I: 10%
Expected Return: 5% over inflation
Expected Risk: 6%
I have added a point more to expected risk for the benefit of a point more expected return. That point of risk is also a point more in growth on the high side. Anyway, I would really like a real tool rather than Quicken for blending the risk/return of the funds into an allocation number - but, I got what I got. Looked around the web and found something, but its results were way out of line. Oh well...
So, why invest now... Because this does not feel like 2008. It feels like a normal 10% - 15% correction or even a little sell off. Leaning toward a correction because of that slope thang, but... Regardless, unless this blows through 12% - 15% than it will turn around. This allocation should limit my YToD loss to something around -3% or so in a Bear Market. I can live with that.
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