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Thread: FogSailing's Account Talk

  1. #997

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    Jan 2006
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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    I'm thinking this could be the top FOR NOW..



    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  2.  
  3. #998

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Bonds appear to be ready for more downside. The BB's appear to be expanding and bonds have been selling off since early September. Just my 2 cents..

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  4.  
  5. #999

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    HI FS -- Definitely agree. I have been in F fund at 40%.
    Decided it is time to exit. Just can't seem to pull trigger to get into equities because they are so high. With the new tax package being discussed, that could cause more excitement but I just can't buy in when I have not seen a good drop. Thought that would happen in Aug/Sept, but it has not materialized. So I guess will see about October.

    Best wishes to you and to everyone!!!!!!!!

    P.S. Do you think you will be coming back to TSP poker table? I think the new season starts this weekend. The Cuda would like to have chance to use here nicely sharpened teeth... going to my special tooth sharpening salon this weekend!!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410


  6.  
  7. #1000

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Hi DBA: I still plan to rejoin the group. The problem has been I have been very tied up on dealing with some tough issues on the home front and things are still unsettled. As I've gotten older, I don't cope with things as well as I used to and as simple as it is to log into poker, it's something I haven't been able to find the time for yet. Don't count me out. I look forward to displaying all my Chapter 8 skills again one day in the near future.

    Thanks.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  8.  
  9. #1001

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    The word\s for the day: IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  10.  
  11. #1002

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
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    On a Florida beach
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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    The word\s for the day: IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE.

    FS
    Yep, the Greed meter has just hit 90. Time for a pullback I think.

    Fear & Greed Index - Investor Sentiment - CNNMoney

  12.  
  13. #1003

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Well, I've decided to keep quiet for a while. I clearly underestimated the irrational exuberance of a tax cut for the 1%. But that's Wall Street and the market has skyrocketed beyond the year 2525.

    All that said, 3 important numbers coming up;
    Fibbo # 2584
    Fibbos 25(89)…..think 2, 5, 89 all fib #’s
    Fib pivot 2594

    Next few days are going to be very very interesting, IMHO.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  14.  
  15. #1004

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Question to the Ethos: If the market is up 85% of the time, why do I choose to be in during the other 15%?

    Please respond through divine providence...

    Thanks.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  16.  
  17. #1005

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    First post for quite some time. I have been playing it cool and have stayed out of the market since early Dec. Missed some nice gains but I played by a set of rules.
    My thinking is that this rally blasted off long before any corporate tax cut. It's been a strong bull for 7 or 8 years? But I think the fundamentals right now are ….. basically useless.
    A good friend of mine put it this way "It is that is too late to buy,…..but too early to sell." So, for the time being I'll just be standing near the door so that when people realize its time to leave
    I can be ready to be the first one back in.

    Good Luck in 2018 everyone.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  18.  
  19. #1006

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    What's on deck this week. Most likely more downside. I hate being in the negative column this early into the year. Will have be smart and aggressive to turn it around. Still think that after a correction is through the market heads to 3000. But in the short term my guess is that tomorrow continues the pullback. If we're lucky, this thing does a dead cat bounce tomorrow but I'm not feeling it right now. So, this thing could bottom out for now somewhere in the 2650-2600 area. My most pessimistic view is that it pulls back to 2418. Lots to think about tonight. Ride it down or get out and take my loss. At this moment, i am considering heading to the Lily Pad. Most likely the increases in rates are part of the problem. Rates now approaching 3% from 2%, so a significant increase. We;ll see how it goes. All the best.
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  20.  
  21. #1007

    Join Date
    Mar 2013
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    Bloomington, Indiana
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    322

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Not feeling it is right...my head says to buy in to this but my gut says to take a break to see whats next. Long term I think we're good but preserving my christmas money is my short term goal..LOL
    The thought that we have been due for a huge correction for a long time weighs heavy.

  22.  
  23. #1008

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    My gut tells me we bounce and then decline to SPX 2450 or thereabouts. I don't think we're out of this yet.
    Time to do my own damage control.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.


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