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Thread: FogSailing's Account Talk

  1. #973

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Look at the appreciation on the Yen today and Gold reversed and is moving up. TLT from a low in March of 166 to a high of 128 now sits at 122. Oil has reversed and is now going positive.Nasdaq has decided to go positive. It seems to be leading the trend right now. So if this is a DCB we'll know very quickly. Looks like Bonds are starting to go positive while equity markets are mixed. Hoping that we see a reversal in the Yen. Market forces are readjusting themselves. OK, so where are we headed?

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  2.  
  3. #974

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Well, I'm a bull above 2436. Below means it's time to rethink. Here's a potential on a Gold Breakout. Also YEN is still moving northward. Both which say equities would pull back. Keeping my finger on the trigger to move back to G.

    Gold-H1-12-July.jpg

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  4.  
  5. #975

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Lots of Bulls out there today. Attached is an EW chart from an analyst I read. He is saying bullish above 2452. Next target is 2465 and if the market is impulsing………then 2478. Should SPX fail and break through 2452, support drops to 2429. Best to all of you this week.

    spx71617.jpg

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  7. #976

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    ANOTHER ANALYST VIEW. THINKS THAT 2466 IS THE TOP FOR NOW.

    TOPOUT.jpg

    fs
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  9. #977

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    My thoughts on TODAY's ACTION...

    https://www.google.com/search?rlz=1C...k1.DYWDXXEyvdA

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  11. #978

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  13. #979

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Some historical charts to be aware of:

    stocks.jpg

    bonds.jpg

    usd.jpg

    unemploy.jpg

    primerate.jpg

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  14.  
  15. #980

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Are We There Yet???? Is 22000 the turning point????

    item.jpg

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  17. #981

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    Are We There Yet???? Is 22000 the turning point????

    item.jpg

    FS
    I think we will find out today! I have the feeling that if we hit 22,000 the market (DOW) will reverse. It will be time to buy some protection if you have that opportunity. Good luck for those that are in the game.


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  19. #982

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    An analyst post this and thought it was interesting: If RUT breaks 1397 then the entire consolidation phase for 8 long months from Dec 16 till date will be confirmed as smart money distribution…

    The concept of long term money distribution would be a strategy by big money. It's like the old adage that you don't turn a super tanker on a dime. So if correct, what happened 8 months that caused a strategy change..hmmmmm

    Personally, I have noticed a positive correlation between my p&l and randomness of going commando.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  21. #983

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    The slope of the incline in the RUT from Dec is only somewhat less steep than the slope from Feb '16 low to the election dip. Is the turn supposed to be toward the downside?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  23. #984

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    I'm not an expert on this WS, but I understand the answer is likely yes. The next pivot down would be approximately 1335. However, (if the assumption that big money has been taking money off the table is correct), the normal pivot at 1335 will not hold and the next pivot down is 1288. I'm not saying this is what is going to happen, just regurgitating some of what I read earlier today.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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