Thread: FogSailing's Account Talk

TSP Herd Update.

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Currently 100% of the Top 5 are in G, as are 80% of the Top 50. For the Total Group (1400+ members I guess), 36% are in G.

Interesting information. All the best to you in your investing.

FS

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HERE'S A PICTURE OF WHERE WE ARE TODAY. I WASN'T EXPECTING A TURN UP IN THE MARKET UNTIL THURSDAY OR FRIDAY SO IT'S BACK TO DRAWING ROOM FOR ME. I CAN'T GET BACK IN UNTIL AUGUST. PENDING SOME UNKNOWN VARIABLE (YEAH RIGHT-LIKE LIFE) IF YOU'RE IN, ENJOY THE RIDE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

ALL THE BEST IN YOUR INVESTING.

FS

I just checked the Tracker. If it is updated, 100% of the Top 5 are in G, and almost 80% of the Top 50 are in G. That is interesting because it means the top dogs intentionally or unintentionally didn't buy in today. If I could buy in, my first concern would be the RSI which appears headed toward overbought territory. So, I'd be a bit hesitant about buying in tomorrow. I think tomorrow is another "up" day.... but Thursday and Friday...hmmm

Best of luck to all of you in your investing.

FS

UPS fires warning shot across the bow of the stock market and the Fed

UPS fires warning shot across the bow of the stock market and the Fed - MarketWatch

It's funny EXN. Last night before I headed to bed I checked the forum, the newsfeeds, and the stock webpages for any unsavory news. Nothing showing. Then I wake up this morning to see your post. It's so laughable. You simply can't control anything. As soon as you think you've got a handle on something....watch out.

Yesterday the market had lots of momentum and it takes an equal and opposite force to counterbalance that momentum. As I mentioned, the RSI was quickly moving to overbought and that's always a "watchout" indicator for me. I still think today "can be" an up day for the market but now that the negative news is leaking out, I could be "south of right" on that one.

All the best in your investing.

FS

Originally Posted by FogSailing

It's funny EXN. Last night before I headed to bed I checked the forum, the newsfeeds, and the stock webpages for any unsavory news. Nothing showing. Then I wake up this morning to see your post. It's so laughable. You simply can't control anything. As soon as you think you've got a handle on something....watch out.

Yesterday the market had lots of momentum and it takes an equal and opposite force to counterbalance that momentum. As I mentioned, the RSI was quickly moving to overbought and that's always a "watchout" indicator for me. I still think today "can be" an up day for the market but now that the negative news is leaking out, I could be "south of right" on that one.

All the best in your investing.

FS

Saw that article as more of a potential long range indicator.
Market did nice yesterday and today (market liked what Yellen had to say I guess - I got lucky!)
and I got out today to lock in gains, (100% G - COB 7/29)
await the next Thursday night 'signal' and fresh Aug IFT's.

Always enjoy your posts FS! Good luck always!

Thanks EXN! Same goes for your posts. First, it was great that you were able to catch the wave up. I also think you picked a good time to jump out. I'm not saying tomorrow won't be positive but SPX is now in oversold territory. My system showed Monday through Wednesday of this week as "down" with Thursday and Friday "up". Everything worked great except the timing. The "up" showed up three days early. Here's a picture of where things stand. Looking forward to August; I think we still have some nice "up" days coming our way until early September. All the best in your investing!!

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FS

"I'm not saying tomorrow won't be positive but SPX is now in oversold territory."

Yeah, I may miss out on further gains in the next few days. But with new 'signal' coming soon and fresh IFT's around the corner I opted to 'lock in' recent gains and just plain got lucky with the market's reaction to whatever Yellen had to say.
When I went to the G-fund prior to noon the C/S funds were bouncing around .4% , .5% up.
Closing around .7% up was nice little bonus.

As they say in poker, better lucky than good!

I'm having mixed feelings about jumping in for August tomorrow. On the one hand the MACD and Vortex Indicator look positive. On the other hand, there are those who know the charts better than I do thinking that we're headed for a double top and that doesn't necessarily mean we're headed up before down. If it is a double top, that would be a negative. I'm not comfortable making that call because this could be just more sideways action looking for an opportunity to break one way or the other. The RSI still isn't that oversold yet...so tough call. My instincts are telling me tomorrow is another relatively flat day, but profit taking will likely takes place. I'll have to sleep on it and see what things look like in the am. All the best in your investing.

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FS

Interesting day! As of a few minutes ago, S&P was still above the support level of 2085. If it holds tomorrow, I think it will be a nice up...unfortunately I'll be too late to catch that one. However, if it fails, the next level down is 2077 and from there around 2046. if it drops below that...I'll be glad to stay in G.

On the Autotracker...13 of the Top 50 are invested to some extent. The Top 5 are all G Fund as of this morning. For those Top 50 invested, it shakes out like this...62.7% are S fund, 21.5% are I, and the rest are nits and nats of about 6%, except that: NO ONE IS F.

Best of Luck to all of you in your investing.

FS

Originally Posted by FogSailing

Interesting day! As of a few minutes ago, S&P was still above the support level of 2085. If it holds tomorrow, I think it will be a nice up...unfortunately I'll be too late to catch that one. However, if it fails, the next level down is 2077 and from there around 2046. if it drops below that...I'll be glad to stay in G.

On the Autotracker...13 of the Top 50 are invested to some extent. The Top 5 are all G Fund as of this morning. For those Top 50 invested, it shakes out like this...62.7% are S fund, 21.5% are I, and the rest are nits and nats of about 6%, except that: NO ONE IS F.

Best of Luck to all of you in your investing.

FS

Regarding the F Fund, here's something to think about; Since 2006 (that's how far back my data goes) the F Fund has had a positive August every year except 2013...Hmmm, perhaps Tsunami knows something the rest of us don't...He just went 100% F Fund...