Thread: Aspiration's Account Talk

I'm kind of split on where we'll see the biggest gains, so I'm gonna split 50% C and 50% S.

The C still looks to me like it has room to go up.

The S looks like it is headed down today below the 9 day moving average. Last time the S dropped below the 9 day moving average we saw over 10 points of upward movement on the daily charts. Hoping to catch an upward bounce in the S starting tomorrow.

Plan to be out of both by COB Thursday.

Well yesterday definitely hurt. I think we will see the dead cat bounce today in the U.S. (especially since the Chinese market bounced a bit today), so I plan to do the International play off of the USM and look for a general rise off the USM.

I don't think we'll see the bottom before 1345, but I want to cover myself in case I'm picking too low a low (don't want to completely miss the train), so I'm going 5% into the C today. Holding the rest of my money in G for partial entries at 1365, 1345, 1325, and 1290.

I'll go ahead and throw in my red flag GUESS for the train to start. I think seeing the usd/yen at 114 is pretty certain. I have 109 pegged at my expectation of a worst case scenario. Once the yen stabilizes, I think we will see the Nikkei start the train. There probably will be a bounce before it really leaves the station. The Nikkei moving should signal the end of the bleeding in the US market. Since I do not see too much more room for assured downward movement (the USD/yen is at 115), I will start slowly easing my way into the C fund at my chosen entry points.

I don't like the look of any of the stock charts right now, and it is a time of the year that I err on the side of caution. Thus, I'm going 100% G.

Time to find a new temporary hobby.

So I went to check my transfer to F for tomorrow and it seems my transfer request disappeared???

I made an IFT to I for Wednesday partially following ebb, and I will definitely not be happy if my IFT disappears again.

It is the wrong part of the calendar year to be in the market, so I can't convince myself to go more than 60% I. Keeping 40% G in reserve.

Scratch both comments. The transfer went through despite not being listed in my account last night, and I feel bolder - 100% I.

100% G COB 5-10-07. Many reasons:

• The towering Shanghai market is approaching resistance http://www.stocktiming.com/Tuesday-D...rketUpdate.htm
• Friday's tend to be a good day to "take some off the table"
• I feel like we've already gone really high in the US market.
• It's a time of year when I'm reluctant to be in the market.
• If I'm in the G on Friday and Monday, then I'm assured of getting the penny.
• and 12% is moving to safer ground (one of the two TSPers whose moves I closely follow - ebb being the other)!

As many might have guessed, I've gone to following ebb on 99.9% of his moves. His chart seems to have a real knack for picking out up days and down days.

Having gotten that caveat out of the way, I'm gonna give my gut hunch on the long term trend of the market. Now that we've had 3 nice positive days, I'm starting to think we've laid the ground for this rally. I'm guessing that the long term trend is onward and upwards climbing the wall of worry for the next several weeks. That climb will be followed by a late September/early October plunge. Hopefully I'll be in for most of that climb and out for the plunge. Now the only question is when to stop playing chicken?

S or G? If the market stays like this I'm thinking 40% S and 60% G...

I'm feeling lucky punk. (Dirty Harry Reference - no offense intended to anyone). Going to reverse my prior amounts and go 60% S and 40% G.