Re: NSurf9 Account Talk
Originally Posted by
nsurf9
Staying 100% G.
Lots of potential risk and reward this week - but markets are already up at 12pm, 3/31/08. Although the day is not over, I will look to send in a transfer next week (by US Mail) and await its "processing as received" - if, this week shows an upward trend.
Hopefully, an injunction will stay the new 2 per month IFT limit or someone will exercise some good (even a little) common sense.
As a matter of note, the reason I got in to moving TSP funds was that I noticed every summer, my TSP fund would take a beating. I didn't know why. So, I stacked all of the returns for Jan, Feb ... Dec on a spreadsheet, graphed it, and then started slicing and dicing the data.
From this, I found that "if, I just put everything in G from May to October, I would have been 67% better off. I had never heard of the "Sell in May and go away, come back in September (or October)" lymric. And, back then, IFTs had to be mailed by midnight on the 15th of the month and funds would be reinvested on the 1st of the next month. Unfortunately, I believe that, that lymric has lost a lot of its validity in todays global market, however, but nontheless still believe I (and you) can fashion a stategy that does better than the equity individual funds - even with the 2 move per month limit.
NSurf9,
You don't need a paid service that's for sure, but many folks do follow some sort of STS.
Sy does have a pretty good one. His YTD return is currently around (-6%). Maybe some things in his system you can apply towards your own.
Take Care!
Robo
Our break-through Seasonal Timing Strategy™ (STS).
Occasionally I read a funny comment about our Seasonal Timing Strategy. Our STS more than doubled the performance of the Dow, more than quadrupled the performance of the S&P 500 over the last 9 years in real-time in our newsletter portfolio, and more than doubled the market indexes over the long-term in back-testing over the previous 57 years.
But sometimes a non-subscriber thinks he has discovered a flaw, and says, "Your STS doesn't work. It underperformed the market in 2003 and in 2006." A few financial columnists have also written that "The market's seasonal pattern is an iffy thing. Sometimes it doesn't work."
Those are silly observations, apparently given with no thought or analysis
http://www.streetsmartreport.com/sts.html
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