Thread: NSurf9 Account Talk

Its "sell in May" vs wasting your last May IFT and get passed up on the Bull-train.

I can only answer on my count. I would have burned the IFT and moved to G at noon today, 5/22, and pocketed the 1% this evening, and then wait until June for new IFTs.

Birch believes we are approaching a bull market. I do too, but that are lots wind coming from several directions. The question is how soon. Oil (commodities), mortgage seizure and inflation are on the short-range scope and are likely to continue to cause difficulty on a bull run. Hurricans are a little futher out and the presid election a little further again

Though I would probably move out to (G) today, I believe enough damage done has been done in the last 2 day that it helps the case to preserve that last IFT and catch the bull-train, or ditch back to (G) later.

Generally, though, my posture changes by season. I try to limit the number of days I'm exposure in equities. I note that last summer trend went uncharistically counter to the "sell in May..." saying. But, I am still wary of the saying and the statistics it represents. Thus, October - April, I want to be in equities (but get out to avoid loss); and, May - Sept, I want to be out (but get in to seek gain).

Congrats on being at 18.64%

Wow, a nuked smiley face ! Ditto !

nice move into 100% I..

i may follow on the marrow...

Thanks, Asylum.

I really would have preferred a 100S move, then 100I move - which is usually the better path after a 1% US drop. Also dollar is strengthening - making "I" less attractive. But, with the recent "I" fund still lagging behind the "S," I'll try to stay in equities for at least a little while. Then, thru "F" which is also lagging, back to "G" to use-up my "overly-generous" 2 IFTs.

My posture still is "be out in May-Oct and limit exposure." Get-in, only to catch the dips. Keep wary, though, this market may still buck-the-trend, like last summer, and make a summer-rally. The question is where is the best return for investment, RE, stocks, commodities or bonds?

So far, though, the "I" fund re-traced a small leg down from $24.66 5/21, to ~$24.04 5/31, for a anticipated loss of about $.62 cents. Albeit, the trend back up to $25.32 is stretching sideways some. I'll try to stay "I" for ~ $1 fund increase then, considering bailing to "F", then to "G". My question is will the already up "S" precipate a drop in the "I" that hasn't yet increased.

Next resistence point, climbing back up the "I" fund line to the high-12/07 period, is at about $25.32 - or about ($.92 to $1.32 profit) in "I" fund cents.

Still watching summer, hurricans, sell in May, oil, dollar

I went 100% S earlier this AM too. DWCP looks like its in a solid measured bull channel on the weekly charts since the BSC day... and just bounced off the support line on 5/23 and re-test on 5/27. Although, I feel like i'm chasing on what may end up a big green day. I hope this bullish action is not just setting up for kissing the channel goodbye if my trend lines aren't the real deal. Hope ADP will be in-line too.

My same thoughts. I realize there may be a couple of bumps down. My bail to F/G trigger is ~1.5%.

i'm going to try to hold as long as dwcp remains in this percieved bull channel... let us know when your figurative sell-stop triggers in TSP. Thanks again nsurf9!

Nsurf9,

Your IFTs have been laser accurate.

With today's ~2% gains, what do you think about a person going to G tomorrow with intentions to come back in later in the month on the assumption that the stocks probably will go back down later in the month? (I have the full 2 IPTs left for the month).

Thanks,
Greg

Tom (help!!) - is there anyway we can boot this guy for some kind of illegal activity - I mean look at this he's like 20%

Most of the ones looking great are just beginning to climb the first branches of the trees - while this guy's up in the plane looking down with binoculars.

NSurf - you are one amazing dude.

INSIDER TRADING !
CAREFUL, THEIR ALL WATCHING !

NSURF9, Can you please go to the (G) for a while and let us catch up.

What a amazing job your doing ! Congratulations on a great day and a
spectacular first half of 2008. So tell me, hows the weather up there !!