fuzzduzz account talk

**fuzzduzz** · 07-01-2004, 12:31 PM

The market is acting well so far this week (jobs # on friday) although this # has been on a positive bias of late. The bias of the market for the short term seems to be up with the small cap leading the way. Although it's not really strong we may get somewhat of a summer rally. I will be transferring 100% into the S fund today and will take effect for Fridays market. Hopefully we'll get a light volume pullback today for a better entry point.

**Rod** · 07-01-2004, 12:39 PM

Good move! I've been 100% S since Monday.

Share price COBMonday: $13.07

Share price COB Wednesday: $13.22

Decent gains!:^

**fuzzduzz** · 07-01-2004, 12:50 PM

I wasn't sure what was gonna happen with Iraq and the fed so I decided to err on the side of caution.

**Rod** · 07-01-2004, 01:09 PM

Yeah, same here. But when I heard Iraq was handed over 2 days early, I felt the market would react positively since traders would not longer be on edge about it.

That's when I decided to stay 100% S. Yes, it was a "gamble" all around. But it paid off.

Also, historically, (at least since Feb) the S Fund has had gradualgains in the last week of the month leading into the next. Any other time throughout the month hashad sporadic gains.

I don't know if that means much, but I found it an interesting trend.

God Bless

**tsptalk** · 07-02-2004, 03:30 PM

Fuzzduzz,

Can you use the S fund share price? You can get it from the http://www.tsp.gov website. Today's opening S fund price was 13.07.

Thanks

**fuzzduzz** · 07-02-2004, 11:27 PM

I guess I could but then I'd have to keep track of everything manually on paper. With the (vxf) fund everything is done automatically. They both track the Wilshire 4500 and the percentages could be off a tiny bet but I don't understand what the difference is?

**tsptalk** · 07-03-2004, 05:31 AM

fuzzduzz wrote:

I guess I could but then I'd have to keep track of everything manually on paper. With the (vxf) fund everything is done automatically. They both track the Wilshire 4500 and the percentages could be off a tiny bet but I don't understand what the difference is?

Oh, I didn't realize they both tracked the Wilshire 4500. I was thinking vxf was just a small cap tracker. If it's too much trouble, it's not a problem.

I did noticethe vxf was down .16% Friday but the S fund was actually up. So I looked at June, andthe S fund was up 2.71%, and vxf was up 2.49%. Not much, but enough of a difference.

**fuzzduzz** · 07-03-2004, 10:31 AM

I also follow the (vexmx) which tracks the wilshire 4500 and their returns were alittle different as well. That's funny they all track the same index and are all that much different. Good enough I'll switch over. :^

**fuzzduzz** · 07-03-2004, 11:26 AM

Minor change, instead of using the (vxf) fund I'll use the actual (s) fund. Starting friday 100% S Fund

100,000 S Fund $13.07 Shares 7651.1094

Hey I'm up 76.51 :^

**tsptalk** · 07-03-2004, 03:06 PM

Thanks :^, and sorry for the inconvenience.I think we'll all be able to follow your account a little easier.

**fuzzduzz** · 07-14-2004, 11:18 AM

So much for my timing. I recently moved 100% S Fund from being in the G fund for quite awhile and since then the market has had a slightly downward bias. I can't find any reason for this market to continue it's bullish cycle. Although we are oversold I'm hoping for a bounce here so I can get back to the G fund for now.

**oneyoungbuck** · 07-14-2004, 01:20 PM

I have been 40%c and 60%s for the last 3 trading days. I ahve noticed that the C fund has been outperforming the S fund lately so will probably allocate heavier to the C fund. I was watching CNBC a about a week ago and someone, I cant remember his name, stated that he beleived that the S&P would outperform the other sectors of the Market over the near future. So far I think hes been correct. Also, based on the Frizz differentials the C fund is still a good buy as well as the S fund. As far as the I fund goes I think it will still fall a bit more so I beleive the I fund is just not a good bet for now (Frizz diff. is at -66, STAY AWAY!). Thats all for now good luck to all.