Thread: ayla Account Talk

Originally Posted by ayla

I probably should put my comments about my IFT here. In case it isn't already obvious, I screwed up and didn't record on TSPTalk my latest IFT which I made on March 27th (before noon).

I realize the rules don't allow "back tracking" (which makes sense). Do whatever is necessary to keep me in the rules. But as of COB March 27th, I was 100% I fund. Not sure what the date is that you can officially put me there to keep me within the rules.

No hard feelings, just my mistake.. At least I have as some consolation, the wonderful performance by the I Fund today, 25 cents (and the dollars in my TSP to show for it)! YEAOOWEEEE!

I'll take this opportunity to give a thanks for those of you who keep this site going and to all the others who participate. THANK YOU.

For tracking purposes, I'm sure our Trackers won't have you 100 (I) until COB tomorrow.

It's only fair for everyone else.

So, wherever you were at prior to 100(I), that's where you are at now for tracking purposes until COB tomorrow.

God Bless

I just looked at your account thread, and see this for Mar 25:

"I=100%
IFT request submitted prior to noon on March 27, 2006"

So, you should be good to go.

Why did you think you screwed up? It looks like you recorded your IFT on Mar 25.

I am even more embarrassed if that is possible. I didn't look at the second page of my Account Transaction thread.

You are right. Yes, I did record it, everything is fine. I didn't think I had because I was looking at only the first page. I not only will get credit in my TSP account in actual dollars but as it turns out will also get credit here on the TSP talk site. Apologies. My brain just aint what it used to be. Glad you straightened this out.

Originally Posted by ayla

Glad you straightened this out.

Not a problem!

As Moderator, that's what Tom "pays" me for...

Right Tom?

Originally Posted by Rod

As Moderator, that's what Tom "pays" me for...

Oh [bleep]! Another income credit... .....Spaf

I just went 100%I after being 20% C and 80% I.

I still consider myself a newbie and understanding the connection between the news and fund prices still escapes me pretty much. But that said, the chart for the I fund looks very healthy IMO.

The I fund price is hugging rather nicely (above) the 20 day moving average, the 20 day SMA is above the 50 day SMA and the 50 day SMA is above the 39 week SMA. The MACD is still positive with a positive (or maybe neutral) slope. The ROC has come down quite a bit for the I Fund which means it has done some consolidation, I think. The RSI looks healthy (though my calculation is a bit different for RSI than what I"m seeing on website such as stockcharts.com).

The VIX chart for volatility seems to indicate to me that there is complacency which means at least no real panic that there is going to be a "fall". Still trying to understand this symbol.

Today might be a good day for an FV for the I fund since the Nikkei is down as I write this. I don't usually comment on my reasoning, don't always have something to say but thought I'd contribute a few of my thoughts.

Ayla, I love to hear how Members come to their decisions, helps with the learning process. Probably better than mine, let's see heads I stay in, tails I get out!

RSI (relative strength) and ROC (rate of change) starting to look bearish for all funds. Consolidation is good and if it weren't election week, I might be willing to risk a small pullback for the longterm but think I will "get out of the casino" for the week (at least). I won't be able to check on this later today so must make this decision early.

As they say, this is all about willingness to risk, at least given my level of understanding and experience at this point. Oh well.

The greater risk is being out, not being in - IMHO.

I just went 100% F. The charts are looking a little too much like May 9th. Big drop (over 30) in slow stochastic %k indicator, S Fund ROC (rate of change) has dropped to half what it was yesterday or day before yesterday, slow stochastic crossover from +80 to less than 80 for I fund. MACd's for both S fund and I fund don't look too bad so my confidence isn't really high on this but I think I would rather be safe than sorry at this point.

My IFT is intended to be effective by cob Nov 10,2006

I think the final interpretation of the TSP board's very ambiguous statement about "limited business hours" and "treasury still accepting G fund" will have to remain to be seen until I get a confirmation, hopefully tonight. Let's go with this date, please. (I hope I hope)

Should be 100% S by Cob today. Hoping I can squeeze a little more out of this breakout. Wishing I would have done this a couple of weeks ago. oh well.

I plan to get out fast if things start looking grim. Too much being said about a pullback otherwise I would stay long (for a while).