Thread: I like the G Fund

Generally speaking, rising interest rates are a bearish indicator for stocks, however in this case two things come to mind that makes me think this is an exception. For one, rising interest rates means (smart) money will be coming out of bonds. Where are they going to put that money now? In a money market fund earning 4%? I dont think so. Why be scared of the market? Heck, the nasdaq was 4700, 4 years ago! Talk about a buying opportunity!

Second, thought rates may be rising, its still awefully cheap for business to borrow money right now with rates as low as they are. Maybe, the rising rates will make them think, if they're ever going to invest (leverage money) in their business, now's the time to do it before it becomes too expensive to borrow a few years down the road. If rates were already, say 9%, and rising, then we might have a different story, but we dont.

I think your indicator will be proven wrong at least in the short term (1 year).

I'm currently 40%C, 40%S, 20%I.

Here's the problem with that site... They've only been in operation since June 2001. There are hundreds of fund managers out there that have posted very good performance for just a 3 year time period. With the hindsight of the market back to 1989, as they state, it really wouldnt be all that difficult to find a model that would 1. give good historical performance having the full advantage of hindsight 2...... for the same model to perform ok for just 3 years since.

When they get 5-10 years of solid, superior performance, i might start to pay attention. Up till now though - i'm not particularily impressed.

The I fund is starting to look good to me. Maybe next week will be a good time to get into it. I'm 100% G fund for the past month.

Welcome to the board. Out of curiosity, why does the I fund look good? By the way, you have done all right being in G fund the past month. I have been for three weeks myself. Welcome.

Joel

mailbagman wrote:

The I fund is starting to look good to me. Maybe next week will be a good time to get into it. I'm 100% G fund for the past month.

The dollar hit the bottom of its rising trend channel before a small rebound. If the dollar stays in the trend channel, it should start to rise which may hurtthe I fund at least temporarily. I was thinking of putting this in Monday's comments but since you brought it up...


Chart provided courtesy of http://www.decisionpoint.com

I follow the directional movement indicators. They are very close to sending a buy signal. Next few days should tell.

Another week.... is it time to play? I am sensing the rebound...we are definitely at lows from Dec for the "I" and have made up a couple of percent in the last couple of days....Too bad we can't get out after 1 day of trading.......:zz

jcnh wrote:

How do *****'s signals work? Anyone want to share service with me. Send me Login details will pay half through paypal..

Hi JC. Thanks for joining us. I believe only jgpalmerddshas that service. I've been curious myself if they are still on the 4/29 "sell" signal. I was getting very bullish at that same time and we were both very interested in how things would pan out.

For the record, I don't want toendorse or encourage the sharing ofa service so please handle that via email ifyou decide to do that.

Thanks!
Tom

I tried Timingcube.com recently for 3 weeks, got out and got a refund. Just not worth $29.95 a month to me. There record of 13.9% earnings per year for the S & P 500 is not very impressive to me. If you go to www.tspmoney.com and follow the 3-way moving average charts they offer, for $18 a month, you'll get the same jist but probably better. You can use the charts for free for 30 days and not be obligated to buy. Haven't reached 30 days yet but probably won't subscribe. I make up my own 3-way moving average chart. Not hard at all. Now I say this because I only have TSP funds so no margins. May be better with margins as far as I Know

As I said when I first joined here, I was only going to make about 1-2 buy-sell transactions a month, but have since changed my mind. It's more fun for me to follow it every day now. As of right now, I'm on pace for a 36% return this year. If I only followed the "big" trends, I believe I would only be about 16-18%. Only takes about 10 minutes a day to update my chart.

For what it's worth. :P

Cool. Care......to.....share your chart, mlk_man?

heh, is it pronouncedem el kay_man, or, milk_man? ...or just Mister Man?

Thanks for the site info:^

GTO