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Thread: ripper's account talk

  1. #457

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by ripper View Post
    Weekly update:

    Aggressive Model trades only TNA/TZA.
    Conservative Model trades only SPY/SH.
    Volatility Model trades only XIV/VXX.
    Models will hold a 50% or 100% position or be in cash.

    All returns (except TSP) are compounded.
    Performance does not include current open trades.

    Aggressive Model
    2016 Return: +62.2%
    Year-to-date: -0.6%
    Current Position: 100% TNA @ 64.74

    Conservative Model
    2016 Return: +10.4%
    Year-to-date: +3.9%
    Current position: 100% SPY @ 257.86

    Volatility Model
    2016 Return (6 months): +48.0%
    Year-to-date: +9.4%
    Current position: 100% XIV @ 107.91

    TSP Model
    Year-to-date (per AutoTracker): +7.11%
    Current position: 100% G
    TSP Model current position should read 30% C, 50% S, 20% I, as posted on 11/17.

  2.  
  3. #458

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    TSP Model moves to 50% G, 30% C, 15% S, 5% I today.

  4.  
  5. #459

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    At today's close:

    Sold TNA @ 68.08
    Sold SPY @ 260.36

    Bought 50% SH @ 31.09
    Bought XIV @ 118.79


  6.  
  7. #460

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Weekly update:

    Aggressive Model trades only TNA/TZA.
    Conservative Model trades only SPY/SH.
    Volatility Model trades only XIV/VXX.
    Models will hold a 50% or 100% position or be in cash.

    All returns (except TSP) are compounded.
    Performance does not include current open trades.

    Aggressive Model
    2016 Return: +62.2%
    Year-to-date:+2.6%
    Current Position: Cash

    Conservative Model
    2016 Return: +10.4%
    Year-to-date: +4.9%
    Current position: 50% SH @ 31.09

    Volatility Model
    2016 Return (6 months): +48.0%
    Year-to-date: +14.7%
    Current position: 100% XIV @ 118.79

    TSP Model
    Year-to-date (per AutoTracker): +8.62%
    Current position: 50% G, 30% C, 15% S, 5% I

  8.  
  9. #461

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    TSP Model moves to 100% G today.

  10.  
  11. #462

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    On a Florida beach
    Posts
    1,454

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    I moved to 100% G as well, but it was mostly this sort of chart and my gut that made me do it.

    Observations on this chart (chart #61 for the Dow): Above the Green Line - Nov 30, 2017 Buy high, and Sell Higher: Momentum Investing - Joanne Klein - Public ChartList - StockCharts.com
    1. I count six gaps starting on 11/16, and the market likes to fill gaps.
    2. It's gone parabolic, almost straight up today.
    3. Danger Will Robinson!

    I'll be out for December 1st, but will be looking for re-entry soon, probably higher with my luck.

  12.  
  13. #463

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    I moved to 100% G as well, but it was mostly this sort of chart and my gut that made me do it.

    Observations on this chart (chart #61 for the Dow): Above the Green Line - Nov 30, 2017 Buy high, and Sell Higher: Momentum Investing - Joanne Klein - Public ChartList - StockCharts.com
    1. I count six gaps starting on 11/16, and the market likes to fill gaps.
    2. It's gone parabolic, almost straight up today.
    3. Danger Will Robinson!

    I'll be out for December 1st, but will be looking for re-entry soon, probably higher with my luck.
    Hi Tsunami,

    I moved to 100% G primarily because the markets appear to be overbought at this time. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean they can't become more overbought.

  14.  
  15. #464

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Weekly update:

    Aggressive Model trades only TNA/TZA.
    Conservative Model trades only SPY/SH.
    Volatility Model trades only XIV/VXX.
    Models will hold a 50% or 100% position or be in cash.

    All returns (except TSP) are compounded.
    Performance does not include current open trades.

    Aggressive Model
    2016 Return: +62.2%
    Year-to-date:+2.6%
    Current Position: Cash

    Conservative Model
    2016 Return: +10.4%
    Year-to-date: +4.9%
    Current position: 50% SH @ 31.09

    Volatility Model
    2016 Return (6 months): +48.0%
    Year-to-date: +14.7%
    Current position: 100% XIV @ 118.79

    TSP Model
    Year-to-date (per AutoTracker): +9.44%
    Current position: 100% G

  16.  
  17. #465

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    The S&P 500 had a Hanging Man candlestick on Friday. This study shows the median returns for the S&P 500 for the 10 days following a Hanging Man candlestick when it's within 1% of a five-day high.
    As you can see, the five days following the candlestick have a bias to trade a bit lower - especially days three and four.

    Hanging man candle.jpg

  18.  
  19. #466

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    At today's close:

    Bought 50% TZA @ 12.82
    Bought 50% SH @ 30.75
    Sold XIV @ 116.09

  20.  
  21. #467

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    At today's close:

    Sold TZA @ 13.00
    Bought 100% TNA @ 67.00

    Sold SH @ 30.75
    Bought 100% SPY @ 263.24

    Bought XIV @ 116.26

  22.  
  23. #468

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Big day for me today.

    I'm having my first CT scan since undergoing several cancer surgeries earlier this year.
    Praying for good results.


  24.  
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