Thread: ripper's account talk

At the close:

Bought 50% TNA @ 104.59
Bought 100% XIV @ 61.52

Ripper,

Here's something for you to ponder regarding the timing of your buys/sells...

https://seasonax.com/news/what-best-time-buy-stocks

Originally Posted by Tsunami

Ripper,

Here's something for you to ponder regarding the timing of your buys/sells...

https://seasonax.com/news/what-best-time-buy-stocks

Good info. Thanks for sharing!
Generally follows what I had assumed, but it's nice to see data that supports it.

Unfortunately, my models use daily and longer term signals and trades aren't triggered until after the market closes.
The only model I've been trading is the Volatility Model and I trade it accordingly in after-hours. I did some back-testing to see if it could achieve a similar performance buying or selling at the market open the following day, but the performance dropped quite a bit.
But this info will certainly come in handy for other trades I make.

Weekly update:

Aggressive Model trades only TNA/TZA.
Conservative Model trades only SPY/SH.
Volatility Model trades only XIV/VXX.
Models will hold a 50% or 100% position or be in cash.

All returns are compounded.
Performance does not include current open trades.

Agressive Model
2016 Return: +62.2%
Year-to-date: -2.4%
Current Position: 100% TNA @ 104.91

Conservative Model
2016 Return: +10.4%
Year-to-date: -1.9%
Current position: 100% SPY @ 228.70

Volatility Model
2016 Return (6 months): +48.0%
Year-to-date: +8.0%
Current position: 100% XIV @ 61.52

TSP Model
Year-to-date: 0% (COB 1/25)
Current postion (since COB 1/25):100% S

At the close:

Sold 50% TNA @ 100.06
Sold 100% XIV @ 61.26

At the close:

Bought 50% TNA @ 104.60
Bought 100% XIV @ 62.69

Weekly update:

Aggressive Model trades only TNA/TZA.
Conservative Model trades only SPY/SH.
Volatility Model trades only XIV/VXX.
Models will hold a 50% or 100% position or be in cash.

All returns are compounded.
Performance does not include current open trades.

Agressive Model
2016 Return: +62.2%
Year-to-date: -4.7%
Current Position: 100% TNA @ 104.76

Conservative Model
2016 Return: +10.4%
Year-to-date: -1.9%
Current position: 100% SPY @ 228.70

Volatility Model
2016 Return (6 months): +48.0%
Year-to-date: +7.5%
Current position: 100% XIV @ 62.29

TSP Model
Year-to-date: 0% (COB 1/25)
Current postion (since COB 1/25):100% S

At the close:

Sold 50% TNA @ 101.04
Sold 100% XIV @ 62.10

I won't be able to post for several days...possibly longer. The model trend remains bullish and will hold 50% TNA and 100% SPY positions. Hopefully, I can update if the trend turns bearish.

TSP model moves to 100% G at the close today.
Aggressive and Conservative models will be selling their positions at the close and be in cash.

I should be back posting on a regular basis again.

At the close on Friday:
Bought 50% TNA @ 109.72
Bought 100% XIV @ 66.54

I was able to check the data from the week that I was gone. During that time, the Aggressive Model was up 1.3% and the Volatility Model was up 2.9%. The Conservative Model was flat as it remained in cash. I won't include these numbers in my YTD performance since I was unable to post the trades in a timely manner.

Weekly update:

Aggressive Model trades only TNA/TZA.
Conservative Model trades only SPY/SH.
Volatility Model trades only XIV/VXX.
Models will hold a 50% or 100% position or be in cash.

All returns (except TSP) are compounded.
Performance does not include current open trades.

Aggressive Model
2016 Return: +62.2%
Year-to-date: -4.4%
Current Position: 50% TNA @ 109.72

Conservative Model
2016 Return: +10.4%
Year-to-date: -0.7%
Current position: Cash

Volatility Model
2016 Return (6 months): +48.0%
Year-to-date: +7.5%
Current position: 100% XIV @ 66.54

TSP Model
Year-to-date (per AutoTracker): +0.84%
Current postion:100% G

At the close:

Sold TNA @ 110.88
Sold XIV @ 65.72