Don't presume anything. It's close enough to my buy-in price and at technical resistance, hence my decision. My intention for this trade was for a quick 2 week turnaround but I set my exit arget to high. Had to let it ride for a while to let the price come back up. I'm content with a small loss on this. I do think AMZN is a good long term hold, even at these levels.
Your guess is as good as mine, but it is what it is. I think a lot more eyes are on this board than you think. Remember, it is public after all and you don't have to be a member to view the public threads. Even the Premium Service threads are a couple clicks away from being compromised if you know your way around the internet, not to mention the unknown amount of paying subscriptions that leak the signals. Then you have to deal with the algorithms that track the brokerage orders coming through on the fly. Those are all hurdles when following a system or having a group of people enter the same trades. All I know is I've had 18 consecutive winning NUGT and ERX trades over the last 2 weeks and I haven't posted any of them - to me that win percentage is worth something.
Just my person opinion which doesn't mean much but I don't see people on this thread being able to move the market. Even with that if you are buying and then posting your buys that should drive the price up, no? Probably just me buy still not sure how posting after you made a buy would drive a price down. I seriously doubt big players are watching this thread to short what is being bought. I think people over think it.
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I'm not an IT guy but even just folks viewing are tracked, not PII but numbers.
I suppose if someone was inclined to do so they could say buy and sell stocks that fall within the top ten of a fund based on interfund transfers within TSP Talk. But TSP funds are specific to TSP. take the S Fund, On a day when every one is moving out of the S fund I suppose, theoretically, HTZ could fall some. Our transfers don't occur till after the close, I would need to wait for there to be an actual affect, no? And when you are in the S Fund, you don't actually own any HTZ where at some point if you held it long enough you would get dividends. The S Fund, just like all of the TSP Funds, are appreciation/depreciation driven. Big money looks at numbers (input/output), not necessarily all the eaches. Of course there are way smarter folks than me on here which might explain my Tracker position
In Dog Beers I've only had two.
I hear your point. I am more referring to OLeg's Nugt and other purchases outside TSP. I have a hard time believing that him posting his small NUGT purchases or even other relatively small buys are moving the market against him. I find it easier to blame posting the moves than just maybe acknowledging they were just bad entry points.
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Understand.
For the most part there are no bad entry points. No doubt there is some bad timing. IMHO an entry point can only become bad when you exit. If you bought gold in 2012, at the moment that seems like a bad entry.
In Dog Beers I've only had two.
I don't recall ever saying that my posted trades were moving the market against me. Last time I checked, an 85% win rate (which I have for posted closed trades) was pretty good by anyone's standards. I did say that my win percentage for unpublished trades and strategies was better than for those that I made public, but both have been pretty exceptional. My conclusions were drawn by studying the performance of a myriad of strategies over several years. I don't care if you believe me. My primary objective is that my trades remain as profitable as possible.
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