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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #2209

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Monday being a holiday I guess it will have to be Tuesday.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  3. #2210

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    I got sidetracked again, may as well be Monday! In for a dime, in for a dollar... its going to cost more to get back in, better in and earning though. Maybe the 10% pullback will be tomorrow =:-o
    I'm watching FAZ and TZA. when they both get to about $10 might be good time to get out or april about the same time when the DOT COM bubble burst yrs ago. Haven't decided which to put more weight into yet.
    "Our Constitution was made only for a Moral and Religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the goverment of any other." John Adams 10/11/1798

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  5. #2211

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Sometimes Maryland, Sometimes Texas
    Posts
    3,504

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So Tuesday I decided to exit my position and head to the G fund. Yesterday morning I'm thinking "Man I timed that right". But by yesterday's close, most of the losses had disappeared. And then today Kaboom, to the moon Alice, to the moon.

    Is it possible to get whipsawed by sitting on the sidelines and missing a rally?
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  7. #2212

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Black Hills, SD
    Posts
    84

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Ravensfan, you described me exactly. I did the same. Missed out on a substantial run up today by having no faith. I still see an even greater pullback looming, but I could easily be proven wrong....

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  9. #2213

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Did somebody say Whipsaw? We're in good company gentlemen (I use that term loosely!). I am somewhat a victim of my own semi-organized existence...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  11. #2214

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
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    3,729

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I'm in with CH! ITF COB 40 C, 40 S, 20 I! Should have held pat, now that C and S are trading off on gains, the distro makes sense. Have a great weekend everyone!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


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  13. #2215

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
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    Sometimes Maryland, Sometimes Texas
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    3,504

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    40/40/20 huh...Interesting...hmmm! I'm just not feeling it. Perhaps I am putting to much emphasis on the potential for a gov't shutdown next week. Will wait a few more days to see how that plays out before committing to a re-entry.

    Good luck WS. Following CH is not a bad strategy.

    Have a great weekend!!!
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  15. #2216

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Futures are UP! Like BT often said, there is greater risk being out of this market that in... snort!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  17. #2217

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
    Posts
    904

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I have been 50% C/50% S, but thinking there may be a pull back right before or on the supposed government shutdown.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  19. #2218

    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Location
    Bloomington, Indiana
    Posts
    322

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    But you didnt' get out did ya?? LOL I think I've been out too much over the last 8 years...I'll let it ride for a while.

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  21. #2219

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Be careful with that "make up for lost time" strategy, kb9nvh. That's what bites me most of the time (maybe even right now). I still feel the pressure of the lost decade (2000 - 2010) that leads me to take higher risk now than my age warrants.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  23. #2220

    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Location
    Bloomington, Indiana
    Posts
    322

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I'm only in 50% and spread out...I looked at what the 2020 was 3 years ago and set my percentages to that...I dont need my money for three more years or more so just need to put on the sticky pants for a while. Until the bubbles I was 100% C all the time. waited a bit too long to get back in but made good money up to 2008 then dropped out due to fear of global economic meltdown which didn't happen. So I didn't bet the farm...just bet the house house this time.....LOL Anyway, I was supposed to have 1.7million by my conservative estimate I made for myself back in 1987...I was partly right....ended up with the 0.7 part. LOL sad

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