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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #1837

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    What are the odds of a snap back?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  3. #1838

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    What are the odds of a snap back?
    It will probably be a crawl back.

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  5. #1839

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Maybe Turn Around Tuesday is kicking in?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  7. #1840

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So I keep a number of databases and use them to spot trends. A recent weekly trend I am noticing with the S Fund is that it loses one week and the next week it gains, but the gain does not quite make up for the previous weeks loss. For instance, 2/20 thru 2/24 S Fund was minus 0.11%. The following week it was up only 0.07%. Then on 3/6 thru 3/10 it was down 1.68% for the week and last week only gained back 1.54%.

    With that said, I am expecting the pattern to continue with another down week this week and a gain next week, but not quite enough to cover the loss. So I'm calling my shot until the market proves me wrong.

    Good luck!!!
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  9. #1841

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Glad you missed this drop, if your pattern holds (now that its spotted, its likely over), I can climb out and rebalance, or something...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  11. #1842

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  12.  
  13. #1843

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Glad you missed this drop, if your pattern holds (now that its spotted, its likely over), I can climb out and rebalance, or something...
    I feel for you Whipsaw. We have all been there as well. You have climbed out of holes before and I know you can do it again.

    Good luck to you. Hang in there!!!
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  15. #1844

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Yes Whipsaw... wishing you the best. Keep your chin up! If it helps, I do hope it will be a quick dip. Seems to be very politically motivated due to Ryancare/Obamacare this week. If it passes Thursday, it could shoot right back up. Just no telling what will happen.

    Best wishes to you and everyone!!!!!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  17. #1845

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Yes Whipsaw... wishing you the best. Keep your chin up! If it helps, I do hope it will be a quick dip. Seems to be very politically motivated due to Ryancare/Obamacare this week. If it passes Thursday, it could shoot right back up. Just no telling what will happen.

    Best wishes to you and everyone!!!!!
    Isn't it sad that we need a policy that takes health coverage away from 24 Million Americans to make the market happy.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT


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  19. #1846

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    Isn't it sad that we need a policy that takes health coverage away from 24 Million Americans to make the market happy.
    No what's really sad is that 24 million Americans have health coverage that is unaffordable because of the high premiums and is unusable because they cannot meet the high deductibles. But hey, at least they have coverage, usable or not...
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  21. #1847

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Everyone seems to forget that just as many people were affected when the ACA was passed and implemented... sorry, but there is going to be just as much turbulence righting the ship.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  22.  
  23. #1848

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Looking for further weakness for the next few days, going 100% F, then looking for re-entry.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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