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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #625

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Are problems in Greece going to rear their ugly heads again? A mish/mash of folks jumping in and out right now, I'm going to hold position for a few more days.

    Greece is 'close to the abyss' as black hole in public finances widens - Telegraph
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  3. #626

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Futures no looka so good...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #627

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Futures no looka so good...
    I was itching to get in a few days ago and saw the news on Greece. Now I realize I've been out almost a month! Missing that last run up was a bummer, looking for a new entry point, the market is now down below my last exit - about half way to the 26 March low.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  7. #628
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    It's OK to collect G Fund for a while. You have done well. Pick a day in the last week of the month and go into May invested. If I hadn't slow rolled out of my TSP holdings I would probably do that. This is not trading advice and all those other disclaimers.

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    I was itching to get in a few days ago and saw the news on Greece. Now I realize I've been out almost a month! Missing that last run up was a bummer, looking for a new entry point, the market is now down below my last exit - about half way to the 26 March low.

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  9. #629

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    This meltup is getting to me. Haven't been able to jump back in expecting a drop... looking to be reinvested for May, working to be in for the first of the month has been dicey recently. Mabey the S-fund dip will have some follow through monday for the cup/handle formation then a run up. Who knows! Greece? Unemployment should be about 35% now with our population growth of unemployable illegal aliens. Will be in class all next week, won't be able to monitor the goings on. Tom, put the 'like' back in! Heck, at least its Friday. :-/
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  11. #630

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Tom, put the 'like' back in! Heck, at least its Friday. :-/
    Getting on that this evening.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  13. #631

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    This meltup is getting to me. Haven't been able to jump back in expecting a drop... looking to be reinvested for May, working to be in for the first of the month has been dicey recently. Mabey the S-fund dip will have some follow through monday for the cup/handle formation then a run up. Who knows! Greece? Unemployment should be about 35% now with our population growth of unemployable illegal aliens. Will be in class all next week, won't be able to monitor the goings on. Tom, put the 'like' back in! Heck, at least its Friday. :-/
    I did something similar in mid-April Whipsaw. Got out just before the Dow sank 200+ points. Glad to miss that loss. Trouble is I'm conflicted on May. The market news is saying a lot of "Don't worry be happy!! Things are marvelous...just marvelous....the market is going to go gangbusters"....You know the hype.... and truth be told, the earning reports were better than I expected given the long cold winter, the technical data isn't showing ominous, the S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs, and how about those mergers. My gut tells me that May is probably the last real opportunity to play this year? However, I am concerned about a significant downturn in the market. .....the question I wrestle with in retirement is how much risk an I comfortable with. This geezer thinking is in direct conflict to my inner child who says to "play in May"...Maybe I can figure out a way to balance the risk going into summer...Thanks for your posts and contributions..

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  15. #632

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    I did something similar in mid-April Whipsaw. Got out just before the Dow sank 200+ points. Glad to miss that loss. Trouble is I'm conflicted on May. The market news is saying a lot of "Don't worry be happy!! Things are marvelous...just marvelous....the market is going to go gangbusters"....You know the hype.... and truth be told, the earning reports were better than I expected given the long cold winter, the technical data isn't showing ominous, the S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs, and how about those mergers. My gut tells me that May is probably the last real opportunity to play this year? However, I am concerned about a significant downturn in the market. .....the question I wrestle with in retirement is how much risk an I comfortable with. This geezer thinking is in direct conflict to my inner child who says to "play in May"...Maybe I can figure out a way to balance the risk going into summer...Thanks for your posts and contributions..

    FS
    "irrational exuberance" Sell "extreme bearish" Buy. Keep your finger over the Sell button. I believe we are in the irrational exuberance phase.
    "Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends...

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  17. #633

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Thanks 99 Percent. That is what my better angels are also saying. The world is an ever changing place. A few days ago, I was reading about the concerns of a number of geophysicists because the number of earthquakes around the globe have been subsiding, then the Nepal earthquake hit. Earlier today, I was reading Oil Slick and found Jame's question to Nnut very interesting, "What happens to oil if we strike a nuclear deal with Iran?" It never ceases to amaze me. I liked burrocrats market analogy to "Pat" on SNL. Made me LOL. That the reason I enjoy this forum so much. I haven't been posting for some time. I took such a hit in 2008/2009, that it has taken me some time to regain my composure. I'm more risk averse these days. All the best.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  19. #634

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    The market news is saying a lot of "Don't worry be happy!! Things are marvelous...just marvelous....the market is going to go gangbusters"....
    FS
    I am seeing a lot of headlines about how the market is ready to drop/correct.
    Weatherweenie's Account Talk
    Teddy Roosevelt: Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official. Retired on November 30, 2023 with 30+ years of service.

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  21. #635

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    328 new likes!

    Thanks for all the great comments guys; I will be watching... always watching...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  23. #636

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So... now it seems bad news is bad news for the Market; economy uncertain so no rate hike (used to be good for the market), now the market heads south!

    With economy uncertain, no Fed rate hike is seen before fall - Yahoo Finance
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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