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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #517

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Yesterday was a continuation of the rollercoaster ride we had last week. Friday was just a news driven bump in that road. I expect it to be like that this week also -- finishing flat. Hey, it's consolidation giving us some more wiggle room up to the top Bollinger band.

    I think the days to watch are next Mon & Tue. Monday is going to give us a start-of-month effect (up/down ?) followed by a Tuesday quick reversal. Question is which day is the fake out. My 2 cents -- they're all I have left.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  3. #518

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    The board is pretty quiet today, with Yellen yellin, and all. The tracker is showing a preponderance of folks moving into equities...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #519

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Hi Whipsaw,

    I am now using EMA of 2,3,10 on all my charts since I like short term trades.

    ON the daily chart (which needs to be changed to 2,3,10 EMA) I like to see price action within the upward channel and within the 2-3 day Exponential Moving Average. Once it drops out of that channel or touches the 10 day to me that is a warning to get out. I also heavily consider the MACD on the daily chart. If it crosses below its signal line to me that is an immediate required exit. Thing is to anticipate that drop correctly... the tough part. I look at the slope of MACD as well but again, if you get in on a buy early you can stand more risk to exit on a down day and still be ahead for that buy.

    Today I did let it ride... looks like doing good on SPX but not so good on DWCPF. Still definitely in gain territory based on when I bought in. But will consider a sell tomorrow as well... in fact considering it day by day now as the upward trend is getting a little old... past 15 days from bottom to top so far... it can go much longer but typically that is not the case but have seen it go out past 30 days (ex November). I see some people buying and it likely continues upward in the long term as we are in bull market. But I would think a pull back is in order sometime soon....maybe not huge as Bolllingers are slightly expanding and price is rising steadily soooooooo...... Its anyone's guess as usual, but as the BBs get wider it gives more possibility of larger price swings and volatility. I really am deciding day by day. I do want to purchase some "I" but I would like to see it pull back slightly before I do.

    I may try to post the latest version of charting parameters I am using this evening, along with new chart links. I like SS on the Weekly and MACD on the daily along with the 2,3,10 EMA. I really want to lock in some gains this week...maybe sell some S fund. Had a rough start in January and I finally have dug out of the hole.

    Best Wishes to you and Everyone!!

    P.S> Also, before even looking at the daily chart, I like to look at the weekly chart (with a 1 or 2 year weekly timeframe) and confirm that the action has Slow Stochastic above its signal line. If not, then I would definitely not enter. If it is going below the signal line I would seriously consider exiting if you are in ---unless you think you stayed in so long that you believe you have hit bottom. Right now all equities are above the SS signal line. So now analyzing dailies.
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 02-24-2015 at 01:01 PM.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  7. #520

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Here we are at the end of the month, currently invested and wanting to hold through the first for that extra trade. Looks like its trying to climb out of the small dip this morning. The herd is bullish (thanks Sensei), is that a contrarian indicator? Also agree with the comments on what looks like topping formations. Hmmmm... have another hour to mull over what to do next.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  9. #521

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    OK, rebalanced to 100% S COB today... was close to noon, not sure if I had made it; checked out The Official NIST US Time: since the Naval Observatory Time site wasn't coming up and it was pretty much in sync w/my system time. Sooooo, I returned to the Interfund Transfer home to find this:
    "You have an interfund transfer request being processed for 02/27/2015 which cannot be changed because the deadline for changing or cancelling has passed. " So I'm pretty sure my change made it in!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  11. #522

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Fully invested in the S Fund for the beginning of the month. Watching closely, JTH paints a good picture of a potential dip/pullback... staying nimble with an extra trade.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


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  13. #523

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Looking for a pullback before reentry!

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  15. #524

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by soon2retire View Post
    Looking for a pullback before reentry!
    What do you think last week was?
    THIS IS WHERE I WOULD PUT SOMETHING TO REPRESENT MY THINKING, BUT THEN THEY SHOW UP!
    Tracker =
    Check my position

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  17. #525

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    It seems going 100% S was a good move, for today at least; pretty good pop this morning, did something happen?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  19. #526

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    It seems going 100% S was a good move, for today at least; pretty good pop this morning, did something happen?
    1st of the month, but I'm not liking the lack of effort at 18,250....might be some pullback after lunch..... a positive day is nice!
    THIS IS WHERE I WOULD PUT SOMETHING TO REPRESENT MY THINKING, BUT THEN THEY SHOW UP!
    Tracker =
    Check my position

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  21. #527

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Frixxxx View Post
    1st of the month, but I'm not liking the lack of effort at 18,250....might be some pullback after lunch..... a positive day is nice!
    I like to see the F Fund diving for the deck when stocks are moving higher, an inverse correlation and gut check of sorts.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  23. #528

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Frixxxx View Post
    What do you think last week was?
    Yes, but I didn't have any moves left - SO!

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