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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #1201

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Yes Frank, I'm a sucker for conspiracy theories and think Mr. Market has gone all out to manipulate the Fed to hold back/reduce further rate hikes. On a more rational note I don't think we are through dropping yet and I wouldn't enter here if I weren't already in. I can see the market going up/sideways on Monday & Tuesday only to drop again when the Fed talks on Wed. Call it one of those buy the rumor sell the news type of week if you prefer.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  3. #1202

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    No move for me, markets headed back down with oil declining. Need to do some reading on the various websites this evening and get a better feel for what is going on post snowmageddon weekend.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #1203

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Ugh...looks like we cannot hold spy index 188..nor could we hold Dow 16000, nor S&P 1900, and S Fund is selling off badly. I don't know what is worse...having to watch us retest the 1812 S&P level...or to watch that sucky CNBC blow happy feelings up our lower end or to tell the average investor to just let your money ride the correction down into a bear. This morning they posted a guilt article about parking your money to safety. Anybody have a site that really stays on with just the market instead of just bringing out the doomsday people when things are bad and the rosy people when things are going good?

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  7. #1204

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by felixthecat View Post
    Ugh...looks like we cannot hold spy index 188..nor could we hold Dow 16000, nor S&P 1900, and S Fund is selling off badly. I don't know what is worse...having to watch us retest the 1812 S&P level...or to watch that sucky CNBC blow happy feelings up our lower end or to tell the average investor to just let your money ride the correction down into a bear. This morning they posted a guilt article about parking your money to safety. Anybody have a site that really stays on with just the market instead of just bringing out the doomsday people when things are bad and the rosy people when things are going good?
    Marketwatch.com is pretty good, so is Briefing.com. I saw the selling at the open, but not the acceleration down to the close!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  9. #1205

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Thanks Whipsaw!

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  11. #1206

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    The latest out of the MarketStream is saying that there has been a lot of technical damage done and that the bulls have their work cut out for them. Expect volatility and large market swings. That said, I'm considering a short term play for the next down day, in then out, ala Burro The Burro-Ark is on target right now, I didn't get it and don't want to chase at this point.

    Dow up more than 200 points as stock rally gathers steam - MarketWatch.com
    Last edited by Whipsaw; 01-26-2016 at 11:02 AM. Reason: added link
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


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  13. #1207

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Futures are down, but flat... From Marketwatch, A 2008 meltdown isn't expected, but there are lots of problems out there...

    Here
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  15. #1208

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    The latest out of the MarketStream is saying that there has been a lot of technical damage done and that the bulls have their work cut out for them. Expect volatility and large market swings. That said, I'm considering a short term play for the next down day, in then out, ala Burro The Burro-Ark is on target right now, I didn't get it and don't want to chase at this point.

    Dow up more than 200 points as stock rally gathers steam - MarketWatch.com
    Been thinking the same thing Whipsaw, especially since Monday is the beginning of a new month and along with it comes 2 more IFT's.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  17. #1209

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by ravensfan View Post
    Been thinking the same thing Whipsaw, especially since Monday is the beginning of a new month and along with it comes 2 more IFT's.
    So, a one or two day play this month, then set up for the next!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  19. #1210

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I'm calling for a nice bounce upward after the Fed concludes their meetings.

    Frank

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  21. #1211

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Markets are headed down as we type... maybe a short term play in the making.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  23. #1212

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    So, a one or two day play this month, then set up for the next!
    Exactly! Oil inventory estimates were higher than expected, which should drive the price of oil down even further and in lock step the stock market. Then Janet Yellen releases the FED statement at 2:00 pm Eastern. I don't think she backs off more interest increases in 2016, although I do think she will cut down of the number of times she will do it. Got about an hour to time this thing, so we will see what happens.

    Note: If you haven't done so yet, It may be a good time to login to your TSP account and set up your security questions. That way you don't get caught fooling around with it at the last minute. I did it yesterday and it took about 5 additional minutes to login.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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