Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Looking at C fund (SPX) definitely see we are entering a short period of consolidation. Bollinger bands have contracted tightly and quickly. The Full Stochastic is at 58.72 per Stockcharts. Was hoping to exit as soon as it hits 80, but not sure it will make it that high given that the last dip only came down to about 36 and did not touch or get below 20. So, I am thinking weak small bounce and with tight range, it might be good time to exit.
I put in IFT to exit 100%to G fund tomorrow....but will see...i might make change to only reduce exposure from 80% to 50%, as my current strategy includes staying in 50% until end of April......but nothing is set in stone....for now planning full exit.
Of course anything can happen with the market, and it could go up with good earnings news this week...hoping i dont exit before a pop up... But oh well.....
Market is now very news driven by sentiments about what will or will not be legislated to help business (Obamacare) and also based on earnings news. I understand this week lots of earnings reports come out primarily regarding housing starts, etc. but at same time Obamacare legislative tinkering also making news that can definitely affect futures.
Best wishes to you all on your investments!!! :smile:
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Just for the record. As stated on Friday, I did put in an IFT to exit the next day (i.e. Monday). I did let that IFT go through so I got to G fund yesterday, but did not remember to post on the Auto Tracker. So, looks like my AT % maybe lower than REALITY for the rest of the year by today's loss. I'll need to figure that false loss this evening to know where I really stand. I will likely need to post my real earnings every now and then to keep it in mind. But I am very thankful that I did exit. I do think this drop is temporary and that it will go back up as soon as there is positive news that GOP is unified and Obamacare repeal will be passed by the house. Maybe it will still happen Thursday, causing markets to shoot up... or the week after.
l will wait for next buy in... seems market thinks there is risk the repeal will not pass but FBN commentators think it will pass after all the horse trading takes place next few days. Vote is on Thursday. Its a big deal because if not passed, it will push out work on the tax cuts and the market and businesses are counting on that.
Best Wishes to everyone on your Investments!!!!!!!!!!! :smile::smile::smile:
P.S. Yes...feeling very happy today and fortunate!! :D
Collective Soul - Shine........ Heaven Let Your Light Shine Down on Me
https://youtu.be/yPslBGjuRL0
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Oh so awesome...Thanks Tom. He was able to fix it so... my earnings will be accurate. Gosh... now I feel even happier!!!! :D :banana:
Okayl.. now posting that video again. This time it shows the video....:D
I really like that part where he sings "yeah" in that really deep voice. Guitar, lyrics... everything just great!!! Makes me feel like cruising in my car...or dancing or singing or celebrating or something like that!!
https://youtu.be/_m0bI82Rz_k
Shine
Collective Soul
Give me a word
Give me a sign
Show me where to look
Tell me what will I find
Lay me on the ground
Fly me in the sky
Show me where to look
Tell me what will I find
Oh, heaven let your light shine down
Love is in the water
Love is in the air
Show me where to look
Tell me will love be there
Teach me how to speak
Teach me how to share
Teach me where to go
Tell me will love be there
Oh, heaven let your light shine down
I'm gonna let it shine
I'm…
3 Attachment(s)
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Just testing to see if I can post a Stockcharts image.
Attachment 40951
Try to do one with colored lines... :) umm..well not quite what I wanted. But its okay for now.
So just trying to start posting charts via image as opposed to link. Using free Stockcharts not too easy to add line markers. But like this second image because it shows what I am looking at the most. I almost always use BigCharts but I really like Stockcharts better because I like the Full Stochastics better than Slow Stochastics although they are almost the same. But on Stockcharts I can see the actual chart point where its at each day. Also, I like using PMO instead of MACD because it provides a smoother line than MACD and due to the smoothing, it more often does not show a cross over when there is a bit of a whipsaw. Also, just discovered the last indicator at bottom regarding money flow and I really like that. Just started using it .... wish I had seen that a few days ago.
Attachment 40952
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Did somebody say Whipsaw?! :cool:
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
DBA, you mentioned the Money Flow indicator. That jogged my memory of Money Flow T's, which can be used to time both tops and bottoms. Here are videos that explain how to set the left side of a T, then the center post of the, then from that you can calculate when the top or bottom will occur. Parker Binion was the very smart sidekick of the late Terry Laundry, but went into the private investing world when Terry passed away back in 2011. Hmm, good to see he's doing well: https://www.linkedin.com/in/parkerbinion
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8NOUqw0aJ7w (watch this one first)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u3KOFdAqstA (this one second)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8NOUqw0aJ7w (this one third)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IrKUxKyOGyI (more T-Theory stuff)
Looking around for a current example, I don't see an obvious one for $SPX, but for QQQ:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=QQQ...d=p68468092162
I see a potential T. If you start with the price low in one election day, 11/4/16...then use the recent Money Flow peak on 2/21/17 as the center-post...that calculates out to a peak for QQQ on around June 10th.
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Hi. Decided to move in 25S-25C-25I. Short term/few day play. Hoping for a small bounce and then exit. Reason: On C and S funds, Slow Stochastic has gone below 20 and on one fund rising. However, this is a risky move because the EMA on one fund has 10 EMA crossed below 20EMA and in the other 10 EMA has crossed below 50 EMA.. even worse. Plus price looks like it wants to slide down further along lower Bollinger Band. But per strategy I should have entered yesterday. I missed it, but moving forward even though this is a bit scary. Hoping for a small bounce before exit. I will not stay in more than 2 days unless I see MACD/PMO or EMAs reversing course and see cross overs going upward. I expect further drop but you just never know. Positive news about Tax reform could make it jump and recover. Will see...... :rolleyes:
Best Wishes to You all on your investments!!!!!! :smile:
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Thank you Tsunami! I really appreciate the information and I will look into all of this. Just now getting into money flow. There is an indicator on Stockcharts that I am liking as you likely saw on the charts that posted. Not sure how much I will delve into it, but I do like the CMF indicator... wish I had been watching it before my last entry but glad to use it now... :smile:
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Tsunami
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Quote:
Originally Posted by
DreamboatAnnie
Hi. Decided to move in 25S-25C-25I. Short term/few day play. Hoping for a small bounce and then exit. Reason: On C and S funds, Slow Stochastic has gone below 20 and on one fund rising. However, this is a risky move because the EMA on one fund has 10 EMA crossed below 20EMA and in the other 10 EMA has crossed below 50 EMA.. even worse. Plus price looks like it wants to slide down further along lower Bollinger Band. But per strategy I should have entered yesterday. I missed it, but moving forward even though this is a bit scary. Hoping for a small bounce before exit. I will not stay in more than 2 days unless I see MACD/PMO or EMAs reversing course and see cross overs going upward. I expect further drop but you just never know. Positive news about Tax reform could make it jump and recover. Will see...... :rolleyes:
Best Wishes to You all on your investments!!!!!! :smile:
Well looking at charts to see if there was a cross over showing a strong course reversal.
C fund - no MACD crossover and its running flat right now. Money flow is up. Slow Stochastic is around 73 or so and headed up. I would like to exit when it hits 80 unless there are cross overs indicating stronger days ahead. Price is up now .11%. 10 day EMA is dead even with 20, but intraday it is above the 20EMA.
S fund (DWCPF) - Pretty much the same as C fund except that MACD is sloped up and looks like it could cross its signal line to go positive by end of day or tomorrow. Slow Stochastic is around 75 or so and moving up. Would like to exit once it gets above 80 unless these are cross overs indicating stronger days ahead. Price is now at .20%. The 10 day EMA is still below the 20 and very slightly angled up. It is meshed with the 50... if it drops below 50 its an immediate exit signal. Intraday the 10 is above the 20 EMA... but its early in the day. No telling what happens during the last hour of the trading day.
I Fund - All EMAs still sloped up with good spread between them and 10 over 20 and 20 over 50. Price close to upper Bollinger, Slow stochastic at about 80 and MACD is starting to move horizontally (not much slope) but still positive/above its signal line. ouchy... price at <.32%> right now. Intraday 10 is trying to cross above 20, looks like it will do that since the Slow Stochastic is at about 40 and rising but money flow is down intraday (on daily it is rising). MACD is above its signal line but looks like it might start to move negative... going sideways now. Humm.....????? Political talk is the mover?
At this point, I am staying in another day. I could exit the I fund (as we have unlimited exits to G after our first 2 IFTs of the month are used up). But I am going to give it another day to see. I am mainly waiting for Slow Stochastic to hit 80 unless the outlook becomes more promising. Again, I think political talk is the primary driver. I hope there is more positive talk!!! But better be out when the music stops! :eek:
Best Wishes to Everyone on Your Investments!!!!!!!!! :smile:
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Exiting the I fund. So will be in 25S and 25C at COB today. Still positive on this trade. Still risky in equities. One more day....
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Tsunami... I watched videos. Very interesting. Not too difficult to understand and I like that it is so visual. So divergence between price and indicator marks, if there is divergence marks the T post and helps with gauging possible timeframe for topping. Nice! Videos make clear this is not always the case but just another indicator tool to consider. Thanks again... very useful information! :smile:
Best wishes to you and everyone on your Investments!!!!!!!! :smile:
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Tsunami
Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
Interesting article..Safehaven. I was surprised to read the text in the chart. This was posted Sunday about this week's activity. The article talks about fibs. But what caught my eye was that the chart narrative talks about lunar timeframes/cycles, which some folks follow. That part seems spot on so far for this week. So very curious to see how his prediction for tomorrow turns out! (click on the larger image icon to see it clearly and read the chart narrative...interesting!)
Best Wishes to Everyone on your Investments!!!!!!! :smile:
Short Term Stock Market Bottom Close | Brad Gudgeon | Safehaven.com