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Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

  1. #1225

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by jkenjohnson View Post
    We need a 2-3% drop in the next couple of days to re-enter, IMO.
    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    We may be in a melt-up, thouhts?
    Quote Originally Posted by TSP-roulette View Post
    You may be right jken, I researched that "Almanac" web info as was suggested, too overwhelming IMO. I rather keep it simple. DBA, JTH, Tom, and others do a great job in researching and posting their opinions which I find very helpful. Thanks DBA and company. Your market analysis IMO is well thought out. DBA, since you came on board you have done your homework, you are squeezing a lot of good info, even with the unpredictable factors of the market your efforts are much appreciated.
    Hi, It does look like the C fund (SPX) is in position for a melt up if you look at the Weekly chart... I see the 10 and 20 week EMA cross upward through the 50 week EMA as a strong indicator that the bad stuff is behind us. Looks like we are about there. I consider this a strong indicator because if you look at the past 5 years, specifically 2011, once that hurdle is crossed, the market is in the "clear". Obviously it still has drop weeks and up weeks, etc as that is how the market moves, but not like what we experienced in August.

    S fund (DWCPF) is completely different and lagging but it seems long term, both equity indexes move in tandem. So hoping this follows the SPX. Could be that S fund will be the better choice for those willing to risk more as logic would indicate it has the most chance for gains.

    So...still waiting for a few down days to re-enter.

    Best Wishes to everyone on your investments!!!!!!!!

    P.S.Its definitely possible we will have some down days coming, and as long as they are not too severe, it might be great going forward. TSP-Roulette..thank you for the very generous compliment!


    S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  3. #1226

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Here is the daily SPX for review of daily trend. Clearly in 10 day EMA upward channel..thing is its now far beyond the Bollinger Band squeeze....so once it reaches its peak, it will start moving sideways (meandering) and get wonky! More volatility with downdays...then will see when BBs start to constrict will need to see which direction the next leg takes. I wanted to get in last week but was too skittish from that August drop. Next week what will Fed do??? The next time it drops (friday or Monday) maybe last time toenter with continued hope of a few more upside days before consolidation.....a bit late to party? Entry this late gets riskier the longer I wait to enter.

    S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  5. #1227

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Hey there, Cha Cha Muldowney! I just viewed the pictures of your new beast. Vroom ! Vroom! I bet that's a fun car to go speeding down the highway! Will you be driving it to Vegas? Lots of open road to test that baby out.

    The Madonna concert is this weekend, isn't it? Dang! I wish I had known she was playing at the MGM, my cousin works there and he could have finagled me a seat for free. Have fun! Shake that booty, girl!

    KK

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  7. #1228

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Hi KK...great to hear from you!! . Yes..I fly out there tomorrow. Madonna is Saturday night!! Can hardly wait! Yep...will be shaking what I got!! Your welcome to join me and my buddies in Vegas next time I go! Hope you are well.

    Gosh... i should be posting Madonna!




    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 10-22-2015 at 10:16 PM.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  9. #1229

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  11. #1230

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Ooppss. Wait...hereis th"navel" action video...her first!

    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  13. #1231

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    In regards to lagging--only today--I fund did not rise 1/10 of 1% while the iShares MSCI rose over 1.1%. I know that this is purposely manipulated, but this seems a bit disproportionate.

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  15. #1232

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Phoenix, AZ
    Posts
    3,024

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Good question WS. According to one blog I read today: "On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, pending homes sales, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, Consumer confidence, factory orders, the MMIS, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit both improved. On the downtick: the ADP index, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, the monetary base, and monthly payrolls (which were reported Friday at +126k v 295k, the lowest monthly gain since December 2013, and a big disappointment). Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, ISM services, and Export/Import prices."

    Conclusion of that Forum: Be a BULL!

    On another blog: There is negative divergence on the CCI over the past ten daily bars, also the Daily 200MA & Weekly 50MA are both at SPX 2060, there is also a sell signal on a Daily bearish Gartley, targeting SPX 2020 minimum…

    Conclusion of that blog: I'm too lazy to find out what a :bearish Gartlety is" but I know negative vibes when I see them. Anyways, doesn't sound like anyone I'd invite to dinner...SO: Enter at your own risk.

    RSI stands at 71.03 (getting close to the dreaded 80 number), MACD sits at 20.13 (a neutral but cautionary number), VIX is at 14.45 (Hmmmm)

    I viewed several charts presented in these blogs. Most indicate that if we stay at or over 2060 by COB tomorrow, the market will shoot up. However, 2060 is strong resistance apparently and if we fail, expect a significant pullback. At least that how I read the tea leaves.

    Best of Luck deciding which road to take.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  16.  
  17. #1233
    OBXTrader's Avatar
    OBXTrader Guest
    AutoTracker

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I was pretty close on that one, one small down day to rev up the VIX and buy orders. However, I moved to L Income yesterday, just a wealth management move as part of the bigger portfolio picture.

    Investing style is very conservative, so overall TSP performance is always going to lag, but winning percentage in and out of market last two years has been pretty satisfying. Research is pretty basic, but it's kept me out of trouble. Last year was 6.25% in TSP (partial year in standings), so if I can hang on a couple more months and not do anything stupid maybe I can scrape another 1-2%.

    PS - What's with Autotracker, I should be 1% higher than shown?

    Quote Originally Posted by OBXTrader View Post
    Oh you silly people rooting against the market... and beating back all bear attacks today to close positive is not tanking. Tanking? Shoot, those moves were pocket change up and down compared to past couple months.

    I will take small bow now for I know not what tomorrow holds. Wow, great seeing the VIX get slammed down. Don't say I didn't give you a heads up to buy today. If the market goes up big tomorrow, I am genius. If it goes down, I am sending in my resume to CNBC to be one of their experts.


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  19. #1234

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    Good question WS. According to one blog I read today: "On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, pending homes sales, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, Consumer confidence, factory orders, the MMIS, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit both improved. On the downtick: the ADP index, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, the monetary base, and monthly payrolls (which were reported Friday at +126k v 295k, the lowest monthly gain since December 2013, and a big disappointment). Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, ISM services, and Export/Import prices."

    Conclusion of that Forum: Be a BULL!

    On another blog: There is negative divergence on the CCI over the past ten daily bars, also the Daily 200MA & Weekly 50MA are both at SPX 2060, there is also a sell signal on a Daily bearish Gartley, targeting SPX 2020 minimum…

    Conclusion of that blog: I'm too lazy to find out what a :bearish Gartlety is" but I know negative vibes when I see them. Anyways, doesn't sound like anyone I'd invite to dinner...SO: Enter at your own risk.

    RSI stands at 71.03 (getting close to the dreaded 80 number), MACD sits at 20.13 (a neutral but cautionary number), VIX is at 14.45 (Hmmmm)

    I viewed several charts presented in these blogs. Most indicate that if we stay at or over 2060 by COB tomorrow, the market will shoot up. However, 2060 is strong resistance apparently and if we fail, expect a significant pullback. At least that how I read the tea leaves.

    Best of Luck deciding which road to take.

    FS
    I've not made time to drill deeper than wave top (my bad), it seems as though there has been much bearish sentiment (ala Cramer), and the market has almost erased the correction at this point. Now its that chasing situation, nearing tops of the recent gains, now possibly some downward action? Missing gains waiting for a lower buy in point... Hmmmm... Where's BT when you need him?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  21. #1235

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    I've not made time to drill deeper than wave top (my bad), it seems as though there has been much bearish sentiment (ala Cramer), and the market has almost erased the correction at this point. Now its that chasing situation, nearing tops of the recent gains, now possibly some downward action? Missing gains waiting for a lower buy in point... Hmmmm... Where's BT when you need him?
    could have used his optimisum this week! Still in g...maybe Monday??? Well..bye to all ..I'm off to the Wild Wild West!!!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  23. #1236

    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    Pensacola, FL
    Posts
    6,312

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    could have used his optimisum this week! Still in g...maybe Monday??? Well..bye to all ..I'm off to the Wild Wild West!!!
    What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas! But we can gossip about other 'stuff' when you get back.

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