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Thread: Ebb's Account Talk

  1. #1

    Default Ebb's Account Talk

    Great idea to put info into my own thread. Thanks and welcome aboard!


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  3. #2

    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    Unofficial results for today:

    S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.47%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.30%; EFA (I-fund): +0.42%.

    Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.20% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).

    TNA: +0.90% (YTD: +23.08%).

    The market showed two faces today, down-before-noon and up-at-the-close. Jumping back in if it's down was supposed to be good, but we got faked instead.

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

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  5. #3

    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    Triple patterns are markers, and as such, serve to identify and predict turning points in the market. And, unlike regular data, no processing is needed. So, when it comes to triple patterns, "backtesting" is something of a misnomer. It's just there, here and now.

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  7. #4

    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    Unofficial results for today:

    S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.04%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.34%; EFA (I-fund): +1.42%.

    Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +1.46% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).

    TNA: +4.80% (YTD: +28.86%). Time to stick a fork in it?

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

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  9. #5

    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    This post is about the initial timing of triple patterns.

    The stats below show how the triple patterns can be 10 days early or two months late, and still end up catching most of the gains and losses. Here are the key entry (red) and exit (green) signals of the triple patterns (using the S-fund):

    4-4-4-4 (Dec. 07, 2007 - Apr. 17, 2009): Avoided loss of -39%.
    Selling two months earlier (Oct. 10, 2007): Avoided loss of -42%.

    5-5-5 (Apr. 20, 2009 - Jun. 09, 2011): Gained +79%.
    Buying a month plus earlier (March 09, 2009): Gained +143%.

    2-2-2 (Jun. 10, 2011 - Sep. 22, 2011): Sidestepped loss of -17%.
    Selling a month later (Jul. 07, 2011): Sidestepped loss of -23%.

    3-3-3-3 (Sep. 23, 2011 - xxx): Gained +50%.
    Buying 10 days later (Oct. 03, 2011): Gained +58%.

    I thought bullish red pattern 5-5-5 did exceptionally well, but seeing what missing a month's worth of early gains meant really surprised me (compounding can do that).


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  11. #6

    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    Unofficial results for today:

    S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.00%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.39%; EFA (I-fund): +0.86%.

    Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.98% for the I-fund (no FV tonight). The I-fund racks up another solid gain, but the late afternoon swoon leaves something to be desired.

    TNA: +1.65% (YTD: +30.99%). TNA using the triple patterns (YTD): +37.12%.

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

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  13. #7

    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    I am reposting this comment (made a couple days ago) because it helps explain why triple patterns work.

    Right from the get-go, I had a feeling that there was a signal in the ebbcharts just waiting to be discovered. A couple years ago, I thought I saw it in the form of a triple pattern (5-5-5). It took time for the triple patterns to present itself, but fortunately I was able to piece things together early last year. I knew about all this because of fractal patterns -- zoomed in, small patterns appear, but zoomed out, we see the same patterns, only bigger. Now, let’s take a gander at the ebbchart patterns -- each day a bullish or bearish pattern is produced, but in a longer time frame, we can find a pattern that’s three times as big (triple pattern). And guess what, the same bullish or bearish behavior is exhibited by the bigger pattern, only longer. Ain't that a kicker!

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  15. #8

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    Can you explain what's a triple pattern, how it's determined and how to use it? I can't make heads or tails of it. Heck, I don't even understand your Ebb charts. Is there a primer somewhere? I feel like I'm missing out on something.

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  17. #9

    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    Unofficial results for today:

    S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.40%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.64%; EFA (I-fund): +0.53%.

    Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.75% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).

    TNA: +1.86% (YTD: +33.43%). There's a reason why stocks are making a mad grab for gains (be wary).

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.


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  19. #10

    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by jpcavin View Post
    Can you explain what's a triple pattern, how it's determined and how to use it? I can't make heads or tails of it. Heck, I don't even understand your Ebb charts. Is there a primer somewhere? I feel like I'm missing out on something.
    Jpcavin, thanks for taking notice of the triple patterns. Obviously, you haven't checked the links (my sig) I provide in every post I make. But if you did, but somehow can't access it, here's another link: What a triple pattern looks like in an EbbChart.

    Folks, this is the reason I keep "spamming" whenever I can.

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  21. #11

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    I liked your I-fund updates, it's too bad that thread got locked cause someone else had to get all chippy over nothing lol

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  23. #12

    Join Date
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    6,312

    Default Re: Ebb's Account Talk

    I've seen your links and your charts. The problem is that I have no idea what I'm looking at. I need the First Grade Primer.

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