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Thread: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

  1. #733

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    His timing wasn't great so I wouldn't trade off of what he says.
    I know, and he also had a role in keeping rates low for a little too long in the 2000's, but he was right in terms of the drop.
    Instead of attacking the messenger, I was wondering if anyone agreed with what he was saying in the past 6 months is happening today? If not,, then what is? Scariest part unlike most other drops, is that most on CNBC or FBN don't seem to know, nor seem to agree on.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  3. #734

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    The 0% interest rates went on way too long, for whatever reason, and the bond market seems to be a bubble bursting. Stocks had a 10% correction. They were way overdue for one. After that, I don't know if it was a bubble. John Hussman suggests the valuations are such that we could see very poor returns over the next 10-12 years (if I remember correctly).
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #735

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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Greenspan merely stated that there was irrational exuberance (circa the 90's). He did not issue a sell signal. That said:

    Markets can be irrationally exuberant for a long time. Clearly. That said:

    You can still make money in an irrationally exuberant market. Doing so doesn't mean it wasn't irrational and that emotions weren't exuberant.
    Last edited by userque; 02-08-2018 at 01:26 PM.
    [COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]

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  7. #736

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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    What's really troubling is that Cramer is still on the air.
    [COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]

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  9. #737

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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by userque View Post
    What's really troubling is that Cramer is still on the air.
    Cramer had been saying buy the dips because there aren't enough stock shares to trade which will push prices up. He must have been selling his shares.

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  11. #738

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by userque View Post
    What's really troubling is that Cramer is still on the air.
    I know I've said it before on this site, but I'm old and I to repeat myself...

    Cramer came out a few days before the total collapse of Bear Sterns and said everything was fine, all good, nothing to see here. If they do a sequel to The Greatest Showman, it could be about him.


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  13. #739

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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    and alternately Grok trade called a sell on the Wed before the big friday drop AND he is saying he's not touching this market until things settle down. So..he's my new master!! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7EntlX5-rTc

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  15. #740

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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    I don't know about questioning Cramer's statement. I heard that the Eagles won the Super Bowl and the market is extremely excited so his show and his web site are doing great so from his point of view he is right. :-)

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  17. #741

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by jonfresno View Post
    I know I've said it before on this site, but I'm old and I to repeat myself...

    Cramer came out a few days before the total collapse of Bear Sterns and said everything was fine, all good, nothing to see here. If they do a sequel to The Greatest Showman, it could be about him.
    True....which means he has a "Bear-ish" bias.
    But...his call on October 2nd, 2008 with the S&P at 1114 of "If you need your money in less than 5 years, take it out of stocks now" was a good, gutsy call. as it fell into the upper 600's (40% lower) 5 months later.
    Actually the market reached above that 1114 level for good in about 2 years, but not knowing the amount of stimulus and bank and auto bailouts that would be done that was the right call...as by late 2010 most analysts had given the "buy" signal again.

    https://www.today.com/news/jim-crame...t-wbna27045699
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  19. #742

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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Yup! I have learned and earned a lot from Mister Cramer and enjoyed his entertaining show for years. I appreciate his constant bullish stance on stocks with good fundamentals and appreciation of that view when the market takes ludicrous and dangerous turns.

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  21. #743

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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Really interesting Jim Cramer Tweets this afternoon. He is watching VIX products going down followed by Margin calls which bring the market up. He says the next one at 2:45 could be big.

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  23. #744

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Probably waited too long to jump back in, but now with bull flags forming on all major indices (see Tom's daily discussions) it makes sense to jump in on a down day (except that the down part is because the Fed stated it might be raising rates 4 times instead of 3.)

    Using last IFT of Feb to leave -G- and go all into stocks (50/50 C and S).
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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