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Thread: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

  1. #373

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Another reason I locked in monthly/yearly profits 2 days ago.

    Wedge Pattern.jpg
    CURRENTLY 30% C, 20% S and 50% G (as of COB 04/11/2024) 1st April IFT

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  3. #374

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    This is the one that scares me...




    The SPY looks more like a cup and handle than a rising wedge so I'm not as negative on it.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #375

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    This is the one that scares me...




    The SPY looks more like a cup and handle than a rising wedge so I'm not as negative on it.
    Agree. DAX is even more extreme than that so was worried about a quick rapid downturn there.

    Interesting on the S&P...yes it might look better as a cup and handle.

    Other thing...also a bullish sign...might be an "Ascending Triangle"
    Might have to use my 2nd IFT sooner rather than later if that's the case. Will have to mull over this one a little...

    Ascending triangle.jpg
    CURRENTLY 30% C, 20% S and 50% G (as of COB 04/11/2024) 1st April IFT

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  7. #376

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Not liking my 1st IFT. Broke my rules and now I'm paying (by losing ground on the market).
    I misread the charts I believe, and we might be finally setting up for a breakthrough (per below).
    Will evaluate Thursday morning, but I don't want to fall out of sync with stocks too much if we're not in a downtrend.

    Considering buying back in Thursday morning....maybe all S fund or 50/50 C and S. We'll see in the morning.

    CURRENTLY 30% C, 20% S and 50% G (as of COB 04/11/2024) 1st April IFT

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  9. #377

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Going back in...a 3rd in each of C...S...I.

    Want to keep a toe in each. I Fund may be the most overbought at the moment so will lower exposure just a bit there. C might have the most upside and has been outperforming S as of late.

    Looks like breakout has begun as charts (Ascending Triangle or Cup and Handle) predicted.
    CURRENTLY 30% C, 20% S and 50% G (as of COB 04/11/2024) 1st April IFT

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  11. #378

    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Location
    Virginia
    Posts
    680

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Good luck on what looks like a good move.


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  13. #379

    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    Rocky Mountain High
    Posts
    6,961

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    I went with a C/S mix. That Greece crap is too uncertain for me.

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    Going back in...a 3rd in each of C...S...I.

    Want to keep a toe in each. I Fund may be the most overbought at the moment so will lower exposure just a bit there. C might have the most upside and has been outperforming S as of late.

    Looks like breakout has begun as charts (Ascending Triangle or Cup and Handle) predicted.
    Weatherweenie's Account Talk
    Teddy Roosevelt: Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official. Retired on November 30, 2023 with 30+ years of service.

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  15. #380

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    Going back in...a 3rd in each of C...S...I.

    Want to keep a toe in each. I Fund may be the most overbought at the moment so will lower exposure just a bit there. C might have the most upside and has been outperforming S as of late.

    Looks like breakout has begun as charts (Ascending Triangle or Cup and Handle) predicted.
    For those foolish enough to be following my moves you might notice that even though I announced my move back into a 3rd of each fund (C, S, I) it is not showing up on the tracker this morning.
    Might have had an explorer window freeze up yesterday morning when I tried sending my autotracker update yesterday. Am working to see if I can get it straightned out by COB today.
    Otherwise for the record I did move into C, S, I yesterday (per signature below).
    Got confirmation message from TSP.gov.
    CURRENTLY 30% C, 20% S and 50% G (as of COB 04/11/2024) 1st April IFT

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  17. #381

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    I noticed your absence from the AT listing after your IFT post on your thread yesterday but figured you'd become a Premium Service Member.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  19. #382

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Where did you pull those graphics and explanation of the ascending triangle pattern?
    TSP: 2007=6.4%, 2008=(39.95%), 2009=30.96%, 2010=17.04% , 2011=(4.92%), 2012=17.74%, 2013=26.58%, 2014=5.39%
    TSP Talk: 2015=???

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  21. #383

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Itchn2retire View Post
    Where did you pull those graphics and explanation of the ascending triangle pattern?
    Here you go.

    Understanding Chart Patterns - Technical Stock Analysis
    CURRENTLY 30% C, 20% S and 50% G (as of COB 04/11/2024) 1st April IFT

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  23. #384

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    May the "Melt-Up" begin.

    meltup.jpg
    CURRENTLY 30% C, 20% S and 50% G (as of COB 04/11/2024) 1st April IFT

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