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Thread: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

  1. #1177

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Now that we're approaching the 1st open Gap on the S&P as well as the "Oscar Carboni Special" indicator (100 Day EMA lol) I'm getting ready to throw my other 50% into stocks.

    There is a scary open gap way, way down from there, I don't think our economic situation has deteriorated enough to take us down there (yet). We'll see what the future brings.

    Could be some wild intraday swings if we plunge quickly another half percent to fill that gap, (or 1% to reach the 100 EMA) then see a sharp upward bounce from there.

    Fasten your seatbelts...see chart below.

    SP.jpg
    CURRENTLY 50% C and 50% S (as of COB 04/18/2024) 2nd April IFT

  2.  
  3. #1178

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    ... as well as the "Oscar Carboni Special" indicator (100 Day EMA lol)
    I think it's the 86-day.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #1179

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,747

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    You think maybe we'll double top in May - June and then head for that 'scary' gap?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


  6.  
  7. #1180

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    You think maybe we'll double top in May - June and then head for that 'scary' gap?
    That is a possibility I was looking at. Depends on how high oil gets, if oil goes above a 100, inflation will rise a bit and rate cuts that were baked into the market likely won't happen.

    Still some time on that though.
    CURRENTLY 50% C and 50% S (as of COB 04/18/2024) 2nd April IFT

  8.  
  9. #1181

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    As explained yesterday, I'm rolling the other 50% of my dry powder into stocks COB today.
    Going 50% C and 50% S COB today.

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    Now that we're approaching the 1st open Gap on the S&P as well as the "Oscar Carboni Special" indicator (100 Day EMA lol) I'm getting ready to throw my other 50% into stocks.

    There is a scary open gap way, way down from there, I don't think our economic situation has deteriorated enough to take us down there (yet). We'll see what the future brings.

    Could be some wild intraday swings if we plunge quickly another half percent to fill that gap, (or 1% to reach the 100 EMA) then see a sharp upward bounce from there.

    Fasten your seatbelts...see chart below.

    SP.jpg
    CURRENTLY 50% C and 50% S (as of COB 04/18/2024) 2nd April IFT

  10.  
  11. #1182

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    I think it's the 86-day.

    You know, after you said this, I just had to recalculate and re-map.
    Talk about hitting a bulls-eye with the EMA and gap fill.
    A quick 0.5% dip at the start of Fri trading should fill the gap and touch Oscar's "Happy Line"...and trigger big PM reversal. We are overdue....down 4 days in a row and 7 of 8.
    Hopefully Oscar (and me) are jumping with joy by COB Friday.

    SP.jpg
    CURRENTLY 50% C and 50% S (as of COB 04/18/2024) 2nd April IFT

  12.  
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