Page 658 of 1492 FirstFirst ... 1585586086486566576586596606687087581158 ... LastLast
Results 7,885 to 7,896 of 17894

Thread: Birchtree's Account Talk

  1. #7885

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    "The sentiment signals are starting to stack up against the bulls."

    http://pragcap.com/portfolio-managers-are-bullish

  2.  
  3. #7886

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Lostdawg View Post
    Birch wish you all the best.

    Almost went straight over to the C fund, but I didn't want to buy into a top which may be where we are at, don't know. That VIX spike chart I saw on here probably spooked me . Comfortable spending the time reevaluating on the side for a few days. Let's see how the week rolls. I think I played out the I fund IMO and needed to jump. Maybe a dip will have me in quickly or I'll be chasing you, time will tell.
    Keep up the good work and I do enjoy your bullish banter.

    So wish I would have been doing TSP when it came out for us in my first life. Live and learn.

    BT wants to spook us so he can climb in the tracker - BOO!
    I like TSPTalk and I think most people here are well-intentioned but if I followed their advice, I'd be hunkered down in my basement with a thousand cans of tuna fish.

  4.  
  5. #7887

    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    Upstate NY
    Posts
    3,876
    Blog Entries
    46

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    "The sentiment signals are starting to stack up against the bulls."

    http://pragcap.com/portfolio-managers-are-bullish
    The CBOE Put/Call ratio just blew below .50 and almost hit .40 today.

  6.  
  7. #7888

    Join Date
    Sep 2008
    Location
    Kentucky
    Posts
    5,260

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    That is true Bullitt but lately we've seen sentiment turn both direction in the blink of an eye.
    Recently there has been no difference between the B&H and timers except where their buying and holding.
    Sentiment seems to have frozen some people who would otherwise be movers and shakers. If we do get a dip I'm not sure it would be big enough to unfreeze those that are stuck in neutral. One of the reason I made the move was because I was becoming fiscally paralized. Win or lose I feel better now.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

  8.  
  9. #7889

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,416

    Smile Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by WorkFE View Post
    Sentiment seems to have frozen some people who would otherwise be movers and shakers. If we do get a dip I'm not sure it would be big enough to unfreeze those that are stuck in neutral. One of the reason I made the move was because I was becoming fiscally paralized. Win or lose I feel better now.
    Kinda like the thought

    I bailed out of F holdings because they seemed to be a dead zone. This market seems rather flat, but there is an upside. If 'The One' and Congress would shut up I think we would be in a boom. Well, they can only talk so much. They are about to wind themselves...
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  10.  
  11. #7890

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Buying some of my favorites on the high again - adding to my base: BCS, UBS, GWR, HHS, KBH, DHI. I need to DCA into my lamb chop account also before they get away from me, so I'll probably return if we move even higher back above 10,600. Snort.

  12.  
  13. #7891

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Boghie View Post
    Kinda like the thought

    I bailed out of F holdings because they seemed to be a dead zone. This market seems rather flat, but there is an upside. If 'The One' and Congress would shut up I think we would be in a boom. Well, they can only talk so much. They are about to wind themselves...
    I am kind of sick of staying at mixed %'s (tracker=300+). I think the S is going to be very good through March? So, I am going all the way.
    S-100% , ROLL-THE-DICE

  14.  
  15. #7892

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    dannyboy,

    I hope you own a bungie cord.

  16.  
  17. #7893

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    "The Markets Keep Going Up and You've Missed It." Not me I caught every nickel off the lows but it took mounds of courage and my special pair of sticky pants. And having the best investment adviser cat anybody could ask for certainly helped. Mindylou says the VIX will drop into the 16 level before the close.

    http://safehaven.com/article-16048.htm


  18.  
  19. #7894

    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    8,430
    Blog Entries
    297

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    "There was a lot of cash sitting on the sidelines, and institutional investors smelled a great opportunity, and it's really the big investors that drive the markets in a significant manner, and that's really what it's been all about."

    Thanks BT, this fits right inline with the discussion of the PVI/NVI indicators in my latest blog.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

  20.  
  21. #7895

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    JTH - exactly.

    "Looking back all the way to 1900 chart of market I've never seen a major top without breadth deteriorating for many months or even a year or more before a major bear...market breadth is extremely positive right now."

    http://safehaven.com/article-16052.htm

  22.  
  23. #7896

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I don't know about anyone else but my feeling is we are setting up for one mean melt-up buying panic - enough of a move to create real damage in the bear arena. Some say there is no way this bull can run further without the participation of the housing sector or consumer spending. We don't need their participation because this market and recovery will be powered in large part by exports and business capex spending - that's all we need for the rest of this year and then mom and pop will return to blast us further up the valley. I'm staying heavy with the C fund because over 50% of those company revenues come from overseas. The emerging economies are showing hot growth and those markets should lead to further upside for our markets. Be in to win.

  24.  
Page 658 of 1492 FirstFirst ... 1585586086486566576586596606687087581158 ... LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
Birchtree's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
Birchtree's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
Birchtree's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)
Birchtree's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes