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Thread: Birchtree's Account Talk

  1. #7909

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    Apr 2005
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    If we can go positive and hold for an hour I'm ready to jump in front of the train and do more buying. I'm going to DCA into my lamb chop account - mostly energy type stocks.

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  3. #7910

    Join Date
    Nov 2007
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Looks like we might be going green soon.

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  5. #7911

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    It's just getting a running start.


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  7. #7912

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I'm waiting and watching the VIX soften. If we could get to 1150 on the SPX I think that would cause many bears to hang up their suits and join the herd - you know they have to be in pain.

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  9. #7913

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    There is a nice bearish article - "Anatomy of Blow Off Tops" by Cooper over on http:www.minyanville.com for anyone interested.

    Sorry BT, I don't lend credibility to ANYONE who factors the full moon into their charting. That's what I call "grasping at straws."

    "As you may recall, a few weeks ago I touched on the new moon of March 15 as coinciding with some powerful more esoteric cycles."
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  11. #7914

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I try and read the Merriman Market Analyst at http://mmacycles.com/ every week. If last year was truly the bottom of the last bear, it will take the record for the shortest. I want to do some buying right now but I'm holding to my discipline of only buying on up days.

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  13. #7915

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Patience is virtuous, bought: BTU, JCI, CE, ANR. Watch Spot run said Dick and Jane.

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  15. #7916

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Birch,
    I see you post every now and then what you are going to buy. Do you buy and hold these individual stocks, or sell after a month or so?

    I know you are a bullish investor, just wondering if you sell other stock when you make purchases like these.

    (if you don't mind me asking. )

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  17. #7917

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I only like to sell when it becomes a scarifice to buy something else. During the spring and summer of 2008 I sold my commodity stocks inorder to purchase a portfolio of 45 toxic waste financial stocks. That was a very prescient move. I own 317 individual stocks that I call wall flowers in my oceanic account. I'm now building a separate account to act as a sentinel to protect my oceanic from a margin call. I like to reinvest all my dividends currently. I'll be glad to answer any questions you may have.

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  19. #7918

    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    San Diego, CA
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    I'll be glad to answer any questions you may have.
    Uncle Birch, tell us the story of the market that went "Snort!" That's the one I like.....

    This market has been veddy, veddy, gud to me!!

    Hope you bought in on the lows today!
    THIS IS WHERE I WOULD PUT SOMETHING TO REPRESENT MY THINKING, BUT THEN THEY SHOW UP!
    Tracker =
    Check my position

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  21. #7919

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    This V shaped move attracts more buyers the more extended it becomes. As Ritholtz says; "The easy trade now would be to move to cash amid fears that the rally is petering out - but he adds that over the years he's found that the easy trades aren't usually the ones that make him money." Getting to the 160 month moving average at 1158 and holding that level would be the next step in establishing whether or not the market is in bull mode. Today getting past 1150.23 is a bullish sign and should mean that it can keep going until its next level of resistance at 1228 where it will have retraced 61.8% of its losses. Tomorrow could be very hot. No waterfall decline until early April. Snort.

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  23. #7920

    Join Date
    Apr 2004
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    Question Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    So what made you move 5% of your S fund to the lily pad COB today? Seems a bit pre mature.


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