Page 656 of 1492 FirstFirst ... 1565566066466546556566576586667067561156 ... LastLast
Results 7,861 to 7,872 of 17894

Thread: Birchtree's Account Talk

  1. #7861

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by joylynn View Post
    Thank you so very much for the above link!

    joylynn
    Isn't she precious Birch !

    Click on her name and you'll see a picture I found of her when we were in the 4th grade.

    She was cute as a button back then .... ahh those were the days.

  2.  
  3. #7862

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    joylynn,

    We could be setting up for a technical analysis melt up phase - and it will be difficult to chase so the sooner you put coins into the fountain the sooner you'll get a return. Read my post in the bear cave to give you a fair balance - but I'm bullish all the way to the top and no one knows where the top lives.

  4.  
  5. #7863

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Hey Birch,
    I met this guy a few days back and we had a pretty long discussion talking about our time in Service.

    He really comes across as like the ultimate soldier -- I mean it's very rare I ever meet someone who looks, talks, walks, communicates like this guy.

    USMC - Vietnam Vet ...

    So anyway I was telling him how I was and some of the stuff I did and how I did pretty well as a soldier. And it's one of the few times he did not have this stone cold serious expression -- but smiled and warmed up like -- I know exactly what you're saying.

    'I was a soldier's soldier -- I made E7 in 6 years' Oh sheeeet -- I mean this guy was one hell of a soldier.

    Anyway - stayed in the full 20

    So it's rare I really meet someone like that -- but whenever I do it always makes me think of you !!!

    Right on man -- have a great weekend -- 2 more to go

  6.  
  7. #7864

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Looking back to the fall of 2008 and spring of 2009 were one of the great buying opportunities in years - rather like 1982. So for me in the long term staying invested was the right thing to do. Actually dumping $800K down the dark well was the right thing to do even with a $1M hair cut at the time. Because today at the end of week #52 off the March bottom I'm at $984K worth of upside valuation. All I need is $16K next week to meet my $1M goal and then we set the clock for the next round. Since 1932, the median length of a bull market has been 50 months, according to S&P.

    "Who's Driving the Bus."

    http://safehaven.com/article-16019.htm

  8.  
  9. #7865

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    While I'm at it I should say that I've noticed some of our members are close to hostile - taking on that Dell Shannon persona - "Running Scared" I suspect. A sure way to miss this bull market is to dismiss it as cyclical and unbelievable. When this thinking becomes a consensus it's time for me to load up again and start buying which I plan to do next week. My contrarian nature says the time is now before we get into a wave 3 scenario. Snort.

  10.  
  11. #7866

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I'm with you on the bullish sentiment. I believe there is tons of dough out there looking for a place to find growth. Yes, lots of folks are disenchanted from market downturns in all sectors. Those with an eye to the future but no stomach for risk, will likely be swallowed by inflation.


  12.  
  13. #7867

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Rube, good to read your thoughts.

    "Last week's action marks a pivotal point in the stock market cycle. Both improving fundamentals and technicals have shifted the risk reward ratio towards the long side while IBD has officially called a resumption of an upward trend. It would be irresponsible of me to ignore the markets collective judgement." Peter finally woke up from hibernation.

    http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article17715.html

  14.  
  15. #7868

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    It would appear that with the substantial drop in the VIX this past week, the market is beginning to believe that it's smooth sailing ahead. I suspect we'll take out the intraday low of 17.23 and get into the 16 level - everyone will wait for the subsequent dip to buy back in but that may be awhile off into the future. There probably will be another spike higher on the VIX but not until the consensus has decided a reversal is limited - that's when the crowd gets crushed. And I'll be going against the crowd shifting some S fund to the lily pad - but only gently.

  16.  
  17. #7869

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Just for fun and aggravation I thought I'd take a look back and see how many times I made $100K off the March bottom as well as how many times did I give back $100K. I'm talking about my oceanic account. The first gain was week #19 at $119K, second was week #31 at $137K, third was week #44 at $122K, fourth was week#52 at $128K. On the negative side was the first week #10 at $112K, second was week #34 at $160K - that's the story. Money seems to follow the tides flowing in and sometimes flowing out. I'm looking for week #53 to really hit the score board and put me well over $1M from the March 9th bottom. I plan to be a buyer of some of my favorite wall flowers Monday.

  18.  
  19. #7870

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I too believe in the bull, the bears cant deny there is $$$ to be made...year's gains in the S have been quite good.

    I flubbed when I got in that stupid I fund after Christmas season. Dumb @ss mistake, I did well in the S in Dec. and should have stuck there. If we have another positive Monday I should be outta the hole.
    I like TSPTalk and I think most people here are well-intentioned but if I followed their advice, I'd be hunkered down in my basement with a thousand cans of tuna fish.

  20.  
  21. #7871

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Just completed a few purchases on the highs: PVH. TRW, ACI, GCI. If we can rally up I'll be doing more buying because there are just so many lonely wall flowers needing comfort.

  22.  
  23. #7872

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Just because I post it does not necessarily mean I believe it. Here's an example.

    "On the Brink of an Asset Explosion."

    http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article17730.html

  24.  
Page 656 of 1492 FirstFirst ... 1565566066466546556566576586667067561156 ... LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
Birchtree's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
Birchtree's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
Birchtree's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)
Birchtree's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes