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Thread: Birchtree's Account Talk

  1. #1885

    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    The center of Primary 3 is dead ahead. The bigger the raw points we'll see in relation to the percentage moves as we move closer and closer to the epicenter, and we'll see multiple days of large point gains. If we are in fact accelerating into Primary 3 up there will be lots of time, and many points, to catch in this move. Wave 3's have several characteristics that accompany them - the two basic components are that you will always see the best breadth and volume ratios during 3rd wave structures and that sentiment is the fuel that pushes third waves in their direction. Both the raw and ratio adjusted NYAD lines are close once again to all time highs. Wave 3's always break key technical price structures in its wake.
    I'm riding this breakpoint wave! Woohoo! I can only wish I had more money to throw in there.

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  3. #1886

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    Ferdinand it will take a higher high in the MCOs for any chance of breaking out to higher price highs than that of the July peak. During the latest pause period it remains important that the market not break down from here below the divergent points on the MCO pattern seen in mid August. If we do then we'll probably be in store for continued corrective action going into December period where the next ideal time for the 9 month low is forecasted. Lucky for us buddy this won't transpire. The MCSUM will undoubtedly now move smartly back to +1200.

    Now that we are close to taking out the highs on the SPX there is a high percentage chance that a new (and continuing) advancing price trend is underway. Buy, buy, buy this has been the easiest trade during this latest sequence. Right now only breadth plurality matters - price is seconday - as breadth leads price and price can take its time in catching up to what breadth is telling us with the NYAD line close to new all-time highs again. And the longer it takes to do so, the quicker and more dramatic the move we will eventually see. So at this point higher prices will more than likely continue to be seen with the benefit of breadth confirmation. Snort.

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  5. #1887

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    so, who takes the lead from here? finance? tech? or am I reading way too much into this? and will this be one of those last quarters where we all light a big fat cigar?

    snort indeed -- thanks for the pep talk(s) birch.
    Which one of you nuts has got any guts? -- Randle P. McMurphy
    ... stupidity will always find a way. -- Nnuut

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  7. #1888

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    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    Finance will take the lead - that sector comprises 30% of the C fund and 24% of the I fund. You may eventually see a decoupling of the USM and the OSM. You heard it here first.

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  9. #1889

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    Smart money has been buying financials the past 2 months. They were buying Tech and Dry Bulk Shipping months before that. The retail investor has just begun buying CSCO, AAPL, JNPR, DRYS and DSX. That's OK though, the Bull is going to need a bit of additional fuel to from the short sellers in the financial sector to move ahead. Thank you Punk, Ziegel for helping the cause.

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  11. #1890

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    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    I've said this before, but it's worth repeating. With the idea that Primary 3 is still in its early stages of unwinding to the upside as it relates to the NYSE group of stocks, we will see many multiple 3 digit Dow up days in a row in the future. And just in case you think I'm kidding there were 20 days in 2002 when the Dow was up more than 200 points, 6 days in 2003 - but this does not include all those days when Dow points were up over 100 points but less than 200 points. The periods of 2004, 2005, 2006 were primarily base building years and the longer the base the higher the bull move will go. That Ferdinand surley is a big proponent of the mega trend secular bull market - holy bull manure, make that a raging bull market. Snort.


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  13. #1891

    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    I can't believe you push that elliott wave crap. Anyone can manipulate it to fit what they want.
    I been watching the board for some time to see who has the hot hand but for all the info you provide as the obvious bull you are you really are just a buy and hold C fund guy just trying to accumulate as many shares as possible. Not knocking it but you just repeat whatever supports your suppositions and exclude anything that might make sense if it doesn't fit in.

    Good luck

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  15. #1892

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    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    I don't know you well enough to call your stuff crap - maybe we'll get closer over time. Since the A/D line is not diverting, and it's very rare that price will top without A/D divergence the light is still green. Within Elliott, the "third of the third" is known as the point of recognition, the epicenter of an enormous advance which I believe is in the initial stages. Only in third waves can such occurrences happen where breadth of market makes higher and higher highs. I'll probably make at least $40K today - will you?

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  17. #1893

    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    I don't know you well enough to call your stuff crap - maybe we'll get closer over time. Since the A/D line is not diverting, and it's very rare that price will top without A/D divergence the light is still green. Within Elliott, the "third of the third" is known as the point of recognition, the epicenter of an enormous advance which I believe is in the initial stages. Only in third waves can such occurrences happen where breadth of market makes higher and higher highs. I'll probably make at least $40K today - will you?
    Actually significant more so don't presume because it only shows ignorance. And by the way I'm very familiar with the elliott wave theory so no preaching necessary and I'm even familiar with the A/D line. LOL Oh and by the way I'm not calling your stuff crap i.e. the elliott wave because it's not your intellectual property so that "stuff" can't be you crap.
    Last edited by caymanbrac12; 10-01-2007 at 02:43 PM.

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  19. #1894

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    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    For a "Big Top" guy that has only made 4 posts you are certainly conceited to the point of being vain. If I open the gate and let Ferdinand out he can easily reach out and drop kick you into next week. Glad I got a new friend. It should be remembered for future reference that a fatuous process yields, necessarily, fatuous results.

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  21. #1895

    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    For a "Big Top" guy that has only made 4 posts you are certainly conceited to the point of being vain. If I open the gate and let Ferdinand out he can easily reach out and drop kick you into next week. Glad I got a new friend. It should be remembered for future reference that a fatuous process yields, necessarily, fatuous results.
    My father was wht00ss and I manage his estate which from some conversations I had with him before he passed away I dare say should calm down your conceit realtive to quantities of money which should be embarrassing but alas he told me he met more than his fair share of braggart's in and out of the service so suprised I'm not - just a crappy lawyer trying to make money. I'm here to take care of my mother's TSP account with your permission of course and sorry if you took offense to my frankness. My father thought very highly of this website so I thought I would see if I could benefit as well - but not off to a good start I see.

    Greg

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  23. #1896

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    Default Re: Birchtree's account talk

    I didn't know you could continue trading a TSP account once the owner of it dies. Learn something everyday I guess.

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