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Thread: Birchtree's Account Talk

  1. #16477

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk


    Is the borrowing margin equal to your balance or is it a multiple?

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  3. #16478

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
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    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    The margin available cap will grow as my equity grows - the equity is the collateral. So if I get a margin call that sweetheart in the back office can sell me out pronto if I don't meet my obligations. So my sacrificial lamb chop account will help keep me ahead and out of danger. It saves me from having to dip into my base for sale candidates.

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  5. #16479

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Okay, I understand now.


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  7. #16480

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    24,244

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    The higher up we go the higher the point gains will come in both share prices and index amplitude - that's why I think 24,000 is within reach in 2014.

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  9. #16481

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Alrighty then I've got buying power and would truly like to see a very hard push to the upside tomorrow - that would be purrfect to creat tremendous anxiety for the continued pole sitters. I'll chase Ferdinand until I'm soo deep in superlative bull manure that I'll need straws in my nostrils to get air. Very few professionals seem to think 2014 will be a robust repeat of 2013 - just like they were mostly wrong in 2013. The Goldilocks economy is here and corporate earnings are clean - the rally most likely will rampage further and I plan to keep buying until I can't. For me this is my generational opportunity and I will take full advantage of Janet and buy myself into eternal happiness - I already have so many lucious capital gains that do need periodic harvesting and that means even more buying power. So let'er rip and force the bond market to say uncle as interest rates on the short term rise.

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  11. #16482

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk


    Birch - What are you thoughts on the I Fund for 2014?

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  13. #16483

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  15. #16484

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I think the I fund is going to make my ears bleed - the companies tied to the Euro and Yen will pump up their exports into the emerging markets making nice profits - I plan to stay with the I fund through-out 2014 - the Nikkei was up over 57% in 2013 with more gains to go. If I recall Japanese stocks comprise 23% of the I fund - the I fund is actually a large cap index. My wife is holding a large cap fund in her defined contribution plan (SPX type) and my oceanic is probably 90% small cap, so as a family unit we have it covered. My TSP tugboat will remain 20C/80I. I've been building my sacrificial lamb chop account as a safety net in case I face armageddon again straight on - until then it's going to be pedal to the metal.

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  17. #16485

    Join Date
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    24,244

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  19. #16486

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article43799.html

    "Only four times since its inception in 1957 has the SPX index had higher annual gains than 2013: 38.06% in 1958, 31.56% in 1975, 34.11% in 1995, and 31.01% in 1997. The SPX is now up 29.60% for 2013 and 173.21% above the March 9, 2009 low." If mom and pop rush the gate there will be no turning back.

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  21. #16487

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    I think the I fund is going to make my ears bleed - the companies tied to the Euro and Yen will pump up their exports into the emerging markets making nice profits - I plan to stay with the I fund through-out 2014 - the Nikkei was up over 57% in 2013 with more gains to go. If I recall Japanese stocks comprise 23% of the I fund - the I fund is actually a large cap index. My wife is holding a large cap fund in her defined contribution plan (SPX type) and my oceanic is probably 90% small cap, so as a family unit we have it covered. My TSP tugboat will remain 20C/80I. I've been building my sacrificial lamb chop account as a safety net in case I face armageddon again straight on - until then it's going to be pedal to the metal.
    The I Fund has been forgotten, neglected and overshadowed by the S/C brothers this past year. I think I'm going to have to pay a little bit more attention to it this year.

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  23. #16488

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,194

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by OBGibby View Post
    The I Fund has been forgotten, neglected and overshadowed by the S/C brothers this past year. I think I'm going to have to pay a little bit more attention to it this year.
    Unless the International Market goes crazy in 2014 I might still stick with the "C" and "S" funds. For 2013 the "C" fund was up $5.91, "S" fund up $9.39 and the "I" was up $4.50. I might be off a little bit but it looks like the "C" and "S" funds are the better bet right now. Just saying.
    May the force be with us.


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