RR23,
Based on an MVO analysis, historically, your allocation should provide an 8.5% annual average return with a 6.8% standard deviation. That means that 68% of the time, you can expect a return between 15.3% and 1.7%. 95% of the time, you can expect a return between 22.1% and -5.1%.
If you can accept greater risk, you can achieve a higher return. Whether or not you should accept higher risk or need a higher return depends on your circumstances and your tolerance for losses.
Incidentally, the IRS max is higher than what you can contribute based on your salary and the max FERS contribution.The IRS max is$14K or $15K.



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