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Thread: Daze823's Account Talk

  1. #13

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    I find it interesting that only 1 person in the top 50 on auto tracker has made an IFT, and wonder if they are all like me and got busy during the holidays so parked their funds and just happened to be in the right place. Anyway, now I don't know what to do, in times like these I like to look at the top 50 or 100 and get an idea of what their consensus is, but trades are all over the map right now with strong performers going in opposite directions...

    Things being as they are, I think there is too much risk for me to make a move, for now i'll stick with 30% G / 70% F, and wait for a clear direction. Although it is sooo tempting to jump in hoping to catch a bounce.



    Thought of the Day: If your cruising down the highway in the left lane with the wind blowing through your hair and nothing but open roads ahead of you, and you look in your rearview mirror and see a parade of cars.... Get Out of the Left Lane !!!!!

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  3. #14

    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    Long time, daze.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #15

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    I've been lurking, and posting on other peoples boards, so I've been around. I'm not really sure what made me think to find this old thread.

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  7. #16

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    about 4 months ago I wrote S&P 1830 on a post it and stuck it on my monitor (I don't remember what I had read that made me think that was the number)... today we hit it... call me crazy, but I'm doubling my 40% that I went in two days ago... I hope its like one of those dreams where you dream lotto numbers and they come up.

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  9. #17

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    I am liking my decision to double my 40% invested back on the 20th, everything I had been reading was doom and gloom (I mean everything) and I hedged my bets and went against the crowd and it worked out pretty well, I went to number 3 on the AutoTracker the next day, and then back down to about 100, and now I'm comfortably sitting in top 20. I still believe we have some down days coming, so after going in 80% I made several trades backing out around 20% each time and am now sitting in 35% C fund. now that we have 2 new trades in February, I'm struggling with what moves I want to make. I don't want to waste a trade lowering my exposure to 15%, so I'll stay for now and keep my finger close to the eject button. I really want to get my first year with over 10% gain, so this is a good start.

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  11. #18

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    Not sure what's putting the bad taste in my mouth this morning, it's either being in the market (although only 35%) during this up and down ride, or Intrepid Timer hijacking JTH's thread and throwing a tantrum... Anyway, I think I'm getting out of the market today, I knew I was going for a ride, but I continue to think we have some down side action coming... Just trying to figure out if I'm gonna go into F or just lily pad it for now...

    Futures are down right now, after being up earlier... hoping we get an up day so I can exit fat and happy


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  13. #19

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    So I made the jump in, but I only jumped into the kiddy pool, went 20C / 20S / 60F. The last two months have done well towards the middle / end of the month, and there is a lot of negative sentiment out there, not to mention we've had several down days with really no relief rally's, only near break even days.. So I'm in, but it's a scary ride, so I only went slightly in.

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  15. #20

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    I'm starting to like these contrarian indicators... Made the right decision to jump in, just made the wrong decision with how much to put in... Had I gone all in, I'd be getting out today before the long weekend, but with only partial exposure, and the F decreasing gains even further, I'm gonna stay for a bit longer...

    #32 on tracker before today's close...

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  17. #21

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    My last trade worked out well, we had 3 rally days over 200 points, very unexpected when I went in and being that it was over a holiday weekend shocked everyone. I'm backing out half of my exposure today, so I'll have 20% in equities and also lowering my F fund allotment from 60 to 30... I would get all the way out today if I could get back in, but since I'm out of trades I wanted to leave a little in play.

    Also, I think I need to delete myself from the auto tracker.... I have thousands of dollars in play, but I find myself calculating what I need to do to lose less or make more than others so I stay in the top five of the AT so I can get a coffee mug .. If I was smart, I'd just buy one and focus on capital growth and preservation, and not want to take more risks to stay above others on the AT.... but I won't delete it, cause its fun

    #3 on tracker before todays close

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  19. #22

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    My quest to make top 5 for the month took two hits yesterday, first because of my small percentage invested, another who was fully invested over took me... Congratulations to those who have been fully invested for the second half of the month, I gotta imagine 5% increase in one month feels pretty darn good... But I am very happy with my 2%...

    second hit was that when I open the tracker, I always click on the full year standings, didn't even pay attention that there was another option to also see the partial year members; well I'm a little lower on that list, so I'm not even sure that I was in top 5 for most of the month as I had thought... But again, I'm happy with what I have made, no complaints here...

    also, why looking around at the functionality of the site, I found out how to add an avatar, so I decided that since the market has done so much butt kickin this year, I'd bring a little butt rub to the site

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  21. #23

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    I'm heading to the lily pad today... The primary reason for my retreat is the pattern from the last two months of extremely negative starts of the month and strong second halves... I don't know if this is the type of pattern that repeats itself, but not being in the market at the beginning of the month has worked out well for me, so I will continue that until the market shows me something different. Futures are still down as I write this, but they have improved from earlier today and hopefully can end up positive for my exit...

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  23. #24

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    Default Re: Daze823's Account Talk

    Haha, my quest has come up short, I wanted top 5 for the month and I ended up in 6th... I guess that makes me the first loser, gives me something to shoot for next month...

    anyway, I will keep trying to win a coffee mug, but I saw the 1oz silver TSP coin as one of the prizes, and I wanted to find out if it is possible to buy those? I collect silver coins and was wondering if they are sold, or only won, if anyone knows I'd appreciate the info...

    im on the lily pad for now, good luck to those who entered today, I hope this month doesn't folow the pattern of the last few months..

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