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Thread: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

  1. #3181

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    A nice 216 point run-up for the Dow today. Certainly NOT expecting tomorrow to be an up day. Two steps forward, one step back.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  3. #3182

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Let's measure the performance of the C and S Funds from the bottom of the low spike on Oct 10th, (using $SPX & $EMW):

    C Fund: +7.9%
    S Fund: +8.3%

    S Fund had an immediate strong spike up, but looking at the relative comparison graph of the two, it appears that the C Fund MAY be gaining strength over the S Fund. Since Oct 16th, C Fund has outperformed S by 0.95%. That's not a lot, but if this relative strength continues, it may be reason enough for me to burn a 2nd IFT and make a move to C. I'll watch the PPO crossover for confirmation.

    S vs C.png

    As always, there are no guarantees in this game. Good luck!
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  5. #3183

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by MrJohnRoss View Post
    Let's measure the performance of the C and S Funds from the bottom of the low spike on Oct 10th, (using $SPX & $EMW):

    C Fund: +7.9%
    S Fund: +8.3%

    S Fund had an immediate strong spike up, but looking at the relative comparison graph of the two, it appears that the C Fund MAY be gaining strength over the S Fund. Since Oct 16th, C Fund has outperformed S by 0.95%. That's not a lot, but if this relative strength continues, it may be reason enough for me to burn a 2nd IFT and make a move to C. I'll watch the PPO crossover for confirmation.

    S vs C.png

    As always, there are no guarantees in this game. Good luck!
    MrJohnRoss,

    Thanks for your comparison. I'll be watching your update in the performance comparison. Tia.

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  7. #3184

    Default

    That's better than I thought. I thought I had moved to S fund but didn't follow through on tsp.gov and so I'm still in C fund. At first I lost potential gains but seems c fund caught back up.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  9. #3185

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    That's better than I thought. I thought I had moved to S fund but didn't follow through on tsp.gov and so I'm still in C fund. At first I lost potential gains but seems c fund caught back up.
    Normally in a strong bull market, you would expect small caps to outperform large caps. That changed about mid-year, as you can see by the downward sloping 50 DMA. You can also look at the Auto Tracker, and C (+8.10%) has a nice lead over S (+1.87%) at this point. Heck, even G (+1.90%) has a lead over S this year! Small caps were smashed pretty hard during this last downturn.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  11. #3186

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Another few days to consider a switch to C. For today, I'm liking the performance of S.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017


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  13. #3187

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by MrJohnRoss View Post
    Another few days to consider a switch to C. For today, I'm liking the performance of S.
    Nice to see u in the top 10.
    Is today Saturday again?

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  15. #3188

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by jkenjohnson View Post
    Nice to see u in the top 10.
    Thanks. Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  17. #3189

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Decided not to wait for PPO crossover confirmation. Used my 2nd Oct IFT to move from S to C.

    Good luck!
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  19. #3190

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Another very nice day for the markets. Monday begins the November thru April seasonally strong period of the year for stocks. The old adage; "Sell in May and go away" is sage advice, but now it's time to get back in to take advantage of the strong period. I'll keep that thought in the back of my mind, but primarily I'll be watching the technical indicators for my buy and sell signals. Currently, the gas pedal is still floored, and the Wilsh5000 MOSI is still on a buy signal, so I'm staying fully invested.... for now.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  21. #3191

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Here's a chart of the Bullish Percent Gold Miner's Index. Who's interested in buying gold miners right now? I'll tell you who... NOBODY! Is it time to buy when there's blood in the streets? I'd be very careful here. There's a lot of cross-currents that are affecting PM prices, the main one being the strength of the dollar. With Europe teetering, China slowing, and Russia sanctioned, the U.S. dollar is the current kingpin. How long it lasts is anybody's guess.

    For the short term, PM's and miners are severely oversold. I'd expect a bounce next week. Longer term, I think we're going to grind lower to find a bottom.

    $BPGDM.png
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  23. #3192

    Join Date
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    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Thanks John, looks to me there's some severe damage here, I just noticed GLD broke through a 114 triple bottom going back to June 2013. At this juncture I show the next level of support to test is at 102.5 I can only imagine how those gold bugs must be feeling, this speaks to why having a balance portfolio is so crucial.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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