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Thread: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

  1. #3073

    Join Date
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    Default Re: My Lucky Trade

    Quote Originally Posted by MrJohnRoss View Post
    Short story: Every once in a while, you get lucky.

    Was looking for a short term opportunity, and noticed PLUG was showing a cold engine signal. PLUG is one of those volatile stocks that can move pretty fast in both the up and down direction. I decided to throw a good chunk at it, seeing as how the cold engine light is a fairly rare event. I put in my buy order at the market, and picked it up at 4.03. It promptly did nothing for the rest of the day except for drifting down ever so slightly.

    The next morning, lady luck stepped in. Several positive reports came in on the entire industry, and PLUG shot up 5% almost immediately! Eureka! I watched the 30 minute chart closely throughout the day, and was tempted to sell every time I saw some weakness, but held on to see if it would reach my sell signal. In the afternoon, it made another strong move higher, reaching 11% above my buy price. At the same time, the hot engine light came on, and I knew it was time to consider taking my profits. Sure enough, the stock started to crater, and I hit the sell button. Walked away with a sell price of 4.41, and a profit of 9.4%. Not a bad one day trade. Just wish I could find these opportunities more often!


    Attachment 28802
    That's an awesome trade, thanks for sharing. My ROTH IRA is going sideways/up but mostly I'm sitting on dead money. At this point I'm sidelined there until I'm ready to give it the attention it deserves.
    Retired, 100G (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  3. #3074

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Another excellent day for stocks. S&P is short term overbought, so I'm expecting a minor pullback next week. Going 50/50 G/F. I may also put in a buy order on some TZA later today. Long term, I'm still expecting the markets to charge higher.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  5. #3075

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Dang, it's been almost a month since I've posted here. To say I've been busy is a gross understatement. Been getting maybe 5 hours of sleep a night, working 9-10 hour days, then going to either one of my houses (I bought a fixer upper), and working another 3 or 4 hours a night while construction goes on. With no one at the wheel, my investments have been pretty much on auto-pilot, which is not a good thing.

    Hoping most of you are enjoying this magic carpet ride. I'm going to remain cautious and not jump in until my system says it's time. If that means I miss a couple percent, so be it.

    Happy 4th of July everyone!

    God bless America.... we need it.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  7. #3076

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Well, I'm now the proud owner of two homes. I'm also the proud owner of two mortgages. *sigh*

    The house we just bought is a vintage "fixer upper". We just gutted it. Hopefully we've reached the stage of construction where there is less "tear-out", and some "put-in". Meanwhile, the 'ol wallet is taking quite a blow.

    Hope to get an offer soon on our home base. An all cash offer was made a couple of weeks ago, but the deal fell through. It was just not meant to be.

    Meanwhile, I like to take a few minutes each weekend to look at the "big picture" of the markets. Found a good article that some of you may have already seen, but thought I'd share it here. We're not really in a bull market, folks: "It's Not as It Appears"

    Still holding bonds and cash in the TSP account. A quick check of the AutoTracker shows I'm still in the hunt for a good end of year showing. Nipping on the heels of Chief Heisenburg the Permabull, so I'm liking my reduced risk position while some of the leaders hope for more gravy. I got out of the S Fund when $EMW was at 1030.36, which was a little early, but it's now at 1026.48, so I'm feeling good about my exit.

    I'm about 50% in equities in my other accounts, but keeping a close eye on the exit doors. Also still holding a healthy position in metals and miners - their time to shine won't be long.

    Good luck to us!
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  9. #3077

    Join Date
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    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    MJR congrats on your new addition of a second home. Just wanted to say my wife n I flipped a boarded up house and spent tons to get it ready for market in 2006. We ended up do n a lot of the work ourselves and saved some money and got the satisfaction of a job well done. Put house on market and could not sell in 2006 because of housing sales drop. Like you we had mortgage on house and was freaking out. We decided to rent as an option of not being able to sell. We took an offer that we thought was low ,but it paid the mortgage. We have had 2 single women tenants who were very dependable. This sat we turn it over to a family for our third tenant. Again we thought we could get more but it did not happen so we are getting the same rent for the house, again it pays the bill. I say this to give you a heads up on the rent option,something is better than you biting the bullet on your own. And ohhhhh I remember work n the fed job get n off work and going to the fixer upper for 3-4 more hours and every Friday off and weekends. We also had a handyman who could do just about anything at a very reasonable rate. May Sammy R.I.P he had become a very close friend in the whole flip deal, I miss him. Good luck and have fun. We advertised our rental on Craigslist and got some good prospects. See ya guchi

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  11. #3078

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Been pointing out to my office mates the divergences between the PPO and the steady climb of the S&P for weeks now, stating that eventually the markets were going to roll over. Was fortunate enough to enter a long position in TZA on Wednesday at 15.67, so I had a nice gain as a result of yesterday's bloodbath. Markets look like we're going over a waterfall, so strap your helmets on and get ready for some boulders on the way down. The only question is how far we go. Perhaps someone can tell us when the last 10% correction took place. That wouldn't be an unreasonable expectation.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017


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  13. #3079

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Here's an interesting take on market cycles. This guy is expecting a major low to occur this month, possibly between 8/15/14 and 8/29/14. He's been pretty accurate.

    "The next Flash Crash cycle is due Mid to late August Lows. 7 out of 10 Flash Crash 360 TD Cycles saw sharp 12-14% declines (3 of them were off or did not see any declines), mostly in 2-3 weeks some time in August 2014 Lows. Please note some were not "flashy", like the 3/12/03L and 8/13/04L, but were still major Lows. If the Flash Crash Cycle is active, we will see a swift 2-3 week, minimum 7% to average 12% decline most likely into the August major Lows."

    Raj Times and Cycles
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  15. #3080

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    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by MrJohnRoss View Post
    Here's an interesting take on market cycles. This guy is expecting a major low to occur this month, possibly between 8/15/14 and 8/29/14. He's been pretty accurate.

    "The next Flash Crash cycle is due Mid to late August Lows. 7 out of 10 Flash Crash 360 TD Cycles saw sharp 12-14% declines (3 of them were off or did not see any declines), mostly in 2-3 weeks some time in August 2014 Lows. Please note some were not "flashy", like the 3/12/03L and 8/13/04L, but were still major Lows. If the Flash Crash Cycle is active, we will see a swift 2-3 week, minimum 7% to average 12% decline most likely into the August major Lows."

    Raj Times and Cycles
    I would rather see that right now while we're out.
    Don't bias your charts. Show support and resistance. My comments and charts are not trading recommendations.

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  17. #3081

    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Looks like we're going to get a bit of a counter-trend rally today. This might be a good time to lighten up on some of your high flyers in preparation for what may come.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

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  19. #3082

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    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Hmmm looks like something to keep an eye on. I would love to avoid the drop obviously like everyone else, but the big question is when to bust da move. On another note how is the flip going? If I can find a good deal on a 3 bed 2 bath I may fix up n move into it while work is being done. I saw story on 60 minutes about China bubble and all their empty cities, did you see that?

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  21. #3083

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    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Yes, saw the China story also, scary indeed...."run away"... "Monty Python in Search for the Holy Grail"...

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  23. #3084

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    Minneapolis
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    Default Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by GUCHI View Post
    Hmmm looks like something to keep an eye on. I would love to avoid the drop obviously like everyone else, but the big question is when to bust da move. On another note how is the flip going? If I can find a good deal on a 3 bed 2 bath I may fix up n move into it while work is being done. I saw story on 60 minutes about China bubble and all their empty cities, did you see that?
    Was a rerun from last year.
    "Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends...

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