coolhand

Nevermind, I see tractor is back on the tracker.

Risk is relative and based on each persons perceptions of the indicators they are looking at. You are correct in that they are up so far they may be willing to take more risk, and that they tend to make fewer IFTs. But we don't have many IFTs to begin with, so deploying a longer term strategy is an attractive option.

The top 25% is a fairly large sample, which equates to the top 47 members. I am only looking for trends in their collective trading strategy. If I see cash positions begin to rise then I know bearishness is beginning to seep in. The opposite would be true for stock levels. So it's only a gauge and not something I necessarily hang my hat on. I need much more time to get a better feel for how accurate this method will be in the long run and how it can be used.

Tractor is still in the top 25%. I just checked.

Coolhand, I have been wondering about the top 25%. I think they are taking quite a bit of risk by staying in the market and I think the reason might be because they are so far into the positive that they aren't worried about losing a few%. Personally I think it will take a pretty sound move down to get the top 25 to budge.

Also some of the top 25% don't seem to be actually trading(very few IFT's) Maybe the top 25% that you are tracking should be hand chosen in an attempt to be more accurate.

Do you know where tractor went? I noticed he wasn't on the tracker anymore. Was it because his account was inactive so he got pulled?

THanks, Ball'n